| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 4September 4 | vs Northwestern State (3-8, 3-5) | W 44-14 | 6.93 | 5.57 | +1.36 | 81.20%
| +2 |
| Sep 11September 11 | at SMU (8-4, 4-4) | L 12-35 | 5.27 | 8.54 | -3.27 | 2.79%
| +2 |
| Sep 18September 18 | vs UAB (9-4, 6-2) | L 6-40 | 2.82 | 6.26 | -3.44 | 2.71%
| -1 |
| Sep 25September 25 | at Louisiana Tech (3-9, 2-6) | L 0-24 | 3.87 | 4.36 | -0.49 | 37.65%
| 0 |
| Oct 9October 9 | at Missouri (6-7, 3-5) | L 35-48 | 6.57 | 6.58 | -0.01 | 49.73%
| -4 |
| Oct 15October 15 (Fri) | vs Marshall (7-6, 5-3) | L 21-49 | 5.34 | 6.73 | -1.39 | 18.16%
| +1 |
| Oct 23October 23 | vs Liberty (8-5) | L 26-35 | 4.78 | 5.69 | -0.91 | 27.79%
| -2 |
| Oct 30October 30 | at Rice (4-8, 3-5) | W 30-24 | 4.83 | 4.60 | +0.23 | 55.83%
| 0 |
| Nov 6November 6 | at Southern Mississippi (3-9, 2-6) | W 38-14 | 5.97 | 4.40 | +1.56 | 84.68%
| +1 |
| Nov 13November 13 | vs UTEP (7-6, 4-4) | W 20-17 | 5.13 | 6.16 | -1.03 | 25.36%
| +1 |
| Nov 20November 20 | at Florida International (1-11, 0-8) | W 49-7 | 8.49 | 3.98 | +4.51 | 100.00%
| +1 |
| Nov 27November 27 | vs UT San Antonio (12-2, 8-1) | W 45-23 | 5.92 | 5.90 | +0.02 | 50.46%
| +1 |
| Dec 23December 23 (Thu) | at Miami (OH) (7-6, 5-3) * | L 14-27 | 4.95 | 5.39 | -0.44 | 38.93%
| -2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-7, 5-3 | 5.42 | 5.72 | -0.298 | 5.75-7.25 (+0.25) | 0 |