| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 | vs Lamar (8-5, 4-3) | W 51-0 | 6.16 | 2.20 | +3.96 | 97.88%
| +1 |
| Sep 6September 6 | at Western Michigan (9-4, 8-1) | W 33-30 | 6.44 | 4.27 | +2.18 | 92.56%
| 0 |
| Sep 13September 13 | vs Washington State (6-6, 1-1) | W 59-10 | 6.51 | 4.37 | +2.14 | 92.23%
| +5 |
| Sep 20September 20 | at Army (6-6, 4-5) | W 45-38 | 6.21 | 6.03 | +0.18 | 54.63%
| +2 |
| Sep 27September 27 | vs South Alabama (4-8, 3-5) | W 36-22 | 7.02 | 4.95 | +2.07 | 91.45%
| 0 |
| Oct 10October 10 (Fri) | vs #24 South Florida (9-4, 6-2) | L 36-63 | 5.42 | 6.93 | -1.51 | 16.24%
| -2 |
| Oct 18October 18 | vs UTSA (6-6, 4-4) | W 55-17 | 7.21 | 5.77 | +1.44 | 82.58%
| +3 |
| Oct 24October 24 (Fri) | at Charlotte (1-11, 0-8) | W 54-20 | 9.67 | 6.33 | +3.33 | 97.26%
| -2 |
| Nov 1November 1 | vs #23 Navy (10-2, 8-1) | W 31-17 | 6.15 | 6.74 | -0.60 | 35.12%
| +3 |
| Nov 15November 15 | at UAB (4-8, 2-6) | W 53-24 | 8.58 | 5.83 | +2.75 | 96.23%
| +4 |
| Nov 22November 22 | at Rice (5-7, 2-6) | W 56-24 | 11.64 | 5.37 | +6.27 | 100.00%
| 0 |
| Nov 28November 28 (Fri) | vs Temple (5-7, 3-5) | W 52-25 | 9.45 | 4.51 | +4.94 | 100.00%
| -1 |
| Dec 5December 5 (Fri) | at #20 Tulane (11-2, 8-1) | L 21-34 | 6.10 | 4.65 | +1.45 | 82.86%
| -5 |
| Dec 27December 27 | at San Diego State (9-3, 6-2) * | 5:45 PM | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 11-2, 7-2 | 7.33 | 5.29 | +2.046 | 10.39-2.61 (+0.61) | +8 |