| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 29August 29 (Thu) | vs #14 Utah (11-3, 8-2) | L 12-30 | 5.46 | 5.75 | -0.30 | 42.51%
| -3 |
| Sep 7September 7 | at Tennessee (8-5, 5-3) | W 29-26 | 5.65 | 5.43 | +0.22 | 55.59%
| +1 |
| Sep 14September 14 | vs #24 USC (8-5, 7-2) | W 30-27 | 5.81 | 5.72 | +0.09 | 52.25%
| +3 |
| Sep 21September 21 | vs #22 Washington (8-5, 4-5) | L 19-45 | 5.16 | 7.12 | -1.96 | 9.73%
| -1 |
| Sep 28September 28 | at Toledo (6-6, 3-5) | L 21-28 | 6.50 | 5.33 | +1.17 | 77.49%
| +2 |
| Oct 12October 12 | at South Florida (4-8, 2-6) | L 23-27 | 4.93 | 5.43 | -0.50 | 37.48%
| +1 |
| Oct 19October 19 | vs #14 Boise State (12-2, 9-0) | W 28-25 | 5.61 | 5.06 | +0.55 | 63.74%
| +2 |
| Nov 2November 2 | at Utah State (7-6, 6-2) | W 42-14 | 8.52 | 6.35 | +2.17 | 92.46%
| +2 |
| Nov 9November 9 | vs Liberty (8-5) | W 31-24 | 6.73 | 5.67 | +1.06 | 75.25%
| -2 |
| Nov 16November 16 | vs Idaho State (3-9, 1-6) | W 42-10 | 5.61 | 4.93 | +0.69 | 66.95%
| +1 |
| Nov 23November 23 | at UMass (1-11) | W 56-24 | 9.24 | 4.36 | +4.88 | 100.00%
| +1 |
| Nov 30November 30 | at San Diego State (10-3, 5-3) | L 3-13 | 5.14 | 4.48 | +0.65 | 66.18%
| -3 |
| Dec 24December 24 (Tue) | vs Hawai'i (10-5, 5-4) * | L 34-38 | 6.22 | 6.81 | -0.59 | 35.37%
| -3 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-6 | 6.18 | 5.61 | +0.576 | 7.75-5.25 (-0.75) | +1 |