| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 (Fri) | at Wake Forest (8-5, 4-4) | L 35-38 | 7.54 | 5.51 | +2.03 | 91.06%
| -2 |
| Sep 7September 7 | vs Stony Brook (5-7, 2-6) | W 62-7 | 8.24 | 3.60 | +4.64 | 100.00%
| 0 |
| Sep 21September 21 | at San Diego State (10-3, 5-3) | W 23-17 | 5.07 | 4.48 | +0.59 | 64.59%
| +1 |
| Sep 28September 28 | vs Colorado State (4-8, 3-5) | W 34-24 | 4.99 | 4.55 | +0.43 | 60.92%
| -1 |
| Oct 5October 5 | at #5 LSU (15-0, 9-0) | L 6-42 | 3.00 | 6.68 | -3.68 | 2.60%
| -1 |
| Oct 19October 19 | vs Nevada (7-6, 4-4) | W 36-10 | 5.43 | 4.47 | +0.96 | 73.23%
| 0 |
| Oct 26October 26 | at Air Force (11-2, 7-1) | L 7-31 | 3.56 | 5.62 | -2.06 | 8.57%
| +2 |
| Nov 2November 2 | vs BYU (7-6) | L 14-42 | 6.35 | 8.52 | -2.17 | 7.53%
| -2 |
| Nov 9November 9 | at Fresno State (4-8, 2-6) | W 37-35 | 7.19 | 7.48 | -0.29 | 42.63%
| 0 |
| Nov 16November 16 | vs Wyoming (8-5, 4-4) | W 26-21 | 5.34 | 4.34 | +1.00 | 74.03%
| +2 |
| Nov 23November 23 | vs #20 Boise State (12-2, 9-0) | L 21-56 | 5.28 | 6.45 | -1.17 | 22.43%
| -2 |
| Nov 30November 30 | at New Mexico (2-10, 0-8) | W 38-25 | 4.84 | 5.11 | -0.26 | 43.28%
| +3 |
| Dec 20December 20 (Fri) | at Kent State (7-6, 5-3) * | L 41-51 | 6.41 | 6.63 | -0.22 | 44.37%
| -2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-6, 6-2 | 5.81 | 5.64 | +0.173 | 6.35-6.65 (+0.65) | -2 |