| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 4September 4 | at Baylor (7-6, 4-4) | L 3-34 | 3.06 | 6.97 | -3.91 | 2.24%
| 0 |
| Sep 18September 18 | at Western Illinois (8-5, 5-3) | L 14-56 | 5.32 | 8.06 | -2.73 | 3.82%
| -2 |
| Sep 25September 25 | vs Gardner-Webb (4-7, 2-4) | W 30-14 | 7.04 | 4.40 | +2.64 | 95.80%
| +1 |
| Oct 2October 2 | at Lamar (5-6, 1-3) | W 38-10 | 6.45 | 6.37 | +0.08 | 52.10%
| +3 |
| Oct 9October 9 | at Nicholls (4-7, 3-4) | W 26-7 | 4.03 | 3.82 | +0.21 | 55.34%
| +2 |
| Oct 16October 16 | vs Southeastern Louisiana (2-9, 1-7) | W 57-7 | 6.06 | 4.08 | +1.98 | 90.47%
| 0 |
| Oct 23October 23 | vs #5 Stephen F. Austin (9-3, 7-1) * | L 28-31 | 4.95 | 6.21 | -1.26 | 20.68%
| -1 |
| Oct 30October 30 | at Northwestern State (5-6, 4-3) | L 20-23 | 4.20 | 5.40 | -1.20 | 21.77%
| +1 |
| Nov 6November 6 | vs McNeese (6-5, 6-2) | L 28-33 | 6.77 | 6.39 | +0.38 | 59.47%
| -3 |
| Nov 13November 13 | at Central Arkansas (7-4, 4-3) | W 20-13 | 4.26 | 4.55 | -0.29 | 42.73%
| +2 |
| Nov 20November 20 | vs Texas State (4-7, 1-6) | W 31-29 | 5.11 | 7.11 | -2.00 | 9.27%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-5, 5-3 | 5.15 | 5.73 | -0.575 | 4.54-6.46 (+1.46) | +4 |