| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 (Thu) | vs Valparaiso (0-11, 0-8) | W 45-0 | 6.62 | 2.32 | +4.30 | 99.69%
| +3 |
| Sep 11September 11 | at Purdue (4-8, 2-6) | L 21-31 | 5.81 | 5.53 | +0.28 | 56.98%
| 0 |
| Sep 18September 18 | vs Sam Houston State (6-5, 5-3) | W 56-14 | 8.06 | 5.32 | +2.73 | 96.18%
| +2 |
| Sep 25September 25 | vs Indiana State (6-5, 4-4) | W 40-7 | 4.95 | 2.98 | +1.97 | 90.35%
| +2 |
| Oct 2October 2 | at #13 North Dakota State (9-5, 4-4) | W 28-16 | 6.29 | 7.29 | -1.00 | 25.92%
| +1 |
| Oct 9October 9 | at South Dakota State (5-6, 4-4) | L 29-33 | 6.51 | 5.25 | +1.26 | 79.23%
| +1 |
| Oct 16October 16 | vs Youngstown State (3-8, 1-7) | W 40-38 | 7.39 | 5.72 | +1.67 | 86.34%
| 0 |
| Oct 23October 23 | at Missouri State (5-6, 4-4) | L 28-31 | 8.02 | 6.97 | +1.04 | 74.94%
| -1 |
| Oct 30October 30 | vs Illinois State (6-5, 4-4) | W 65-38 | 9.32 | 5.97 | +3.35 | 97.26%
| +2 |
| Nov 13November 13 | at Southern Illinois (5-6, 4-4) | L 10-20 | 6.02 | 4.92 | +1.10 | 76.03%
| 0 |
| Nov 20November 20 | vs #13 Northern Iowa (7-5, 6-2) | W 30-14 | 7.22 | 5.14 | +2.08 | 91.63%
| -1 |
| Nov 27November 27 | at Coastal Carolina (6-6, 5-1) | W 17-10 | 5.76 | 6.08 | -0.32 | 41.85%
| +3 |
| Dec 4December 4 | at Appalachian State (10-3, 7-1) | L 14-42 | 3.42 | 7.03 | -3.61 | 2.64%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-5, 5-3 | 6.53 | 5.46 | +1.062 | 9.19-3.81 (-1.19) | +11 |