| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | at #6 Texas A&M (5-7, 2-6) | L 0-31 | 3.60 | 7.42 | -3.82 | 2.43%
| 0 |
| Sep 10September 10 | vs Northern Arizona (3-8, 2-6) | L 3-10 | 4.20 | 4.08 | +0.12 | 53.08%
| -1 |
| Sep 17September 17 | vs Texas A&M-Commerce (5-6, 3-2) | W 27-17 | 4.69 | 3.91 | +0.78 | 69.08%
| +1 |
| Oct 1October 1 | vs #14 Stephen F. Austin (6-5, 5-2) * | W 17-16 | 4.21 | 5.37 | -1.15 | 22.75%
| 0 |
| Oct 15October 15 | at Eastern Kentucky (7-5, 2-2) | W 25-17 | 4.12 | 5.45 | -1.34 | 19.22%
| +2 |
| Oct 22October 22 | at Utah Tech (4-7, 3-3) | W 18-13 | 5.23 | 3.64 | +1.59 | 85.06%
| 0 |
| Oct 29October 29 | at Tarleton State (6-5, 1-4) | W 40-21 | 5.89 | 6.40 | -0.51 | 37.10%
| +5 |
| Nov 12November 12 | vs Abilene Christian (7-4, 5-2) | L 28-45 | 5.49 | 4.63 | +0.86 | 70.90%
| -3 |
| Nov 19November 19 | vs Southern Utah (5-6, 2-4) | L 7-17 | 4.53 | 4.10 | +0.43 | 60.75%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 5-4, 3-2 | 4.70 | 4.98 | -0.280 | 4.20-4.80 (+0.80) | +5 |