| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | at Louisiana (6-7, 4-4) | L 7-24 | 4.19 | 5.42 | -1.23 | 21.30%
| -2 |
| Sep 10September 10 | at Florida Atlantic (5-7, 4-4) | L 9-42 | 4.32 | 7.17 | -2.85 | 3.43%
| +1 |
| Sep 17September 17 | vs Central Connecticut (2-9, 2-5) | W 70-6 | 8.23 | 4.28 | +3.95 | 97.87%
| +2 |
| Sep 24September 24 | vs #7 Incarnate Word (12-2, 4-0) | W 41-35 | 6.71 | 6.69 | +0.02 | 50.51%
| +1 |
| Oct 1October 1 | vs Murray State (2-9, 1-4) | W 48-14 | 6.70 | 5.28 | +1.42 | 82.25%
| +1 |
| Oct 8October 8 | vs East Texas A&M (-) | L 28-31 | 5.26 | 7.03 | -1.77 | 12.20%
| +2 |
| Oct 22October 22 | at Jacksonville State (9-2, 4-0) | W 31-14 | 5.40 | 5.18 | +0.22 | 55.59%
| +2 |
| Oct 29October 29 | at McNeese (4-7, 2-4) | W 28-27 | 6.71 | 5.92 | +0.79 | 69.35%
| -1 |
| Nov 5November 5 | at Lamar (1-10, 1-3) | W 47-31 | 6.84 | 5.85 | +1.00 | 74.01%
| 0 |
| Nov 12November 12 | vs Northwestern State (4-7, 3-1) | W 23-7 | 5.94 | 3.54 | +2.40 | 94.38%
| -1 |
| Nov 17November 17 (Thu) | at Nicholls (3-8, 3-4) | W 40-17 | 6.41 | 4.91 | +1.50 | 83.64%
| +4 |
| Nov 26November 26 | vs #24 Idaho (7-5, 6-2) | W 45-42 | 5.86 | 8.46 | -2.60 | 4.43%
| +3 |
| Dec 3December 3 | at Samford (11-2, 8-0) | L 42-48 | 6.60 | 6.30 | +0.29 | 57.38%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 9-4, 3-1 | 6.13 | 5.94 | +0.187 | 7.06-5.94 (+1.94) | +11 |