| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 | vs Stephen F. Austin (4-7, 4-5) | W 58-14 | 6.55 | 3.32 | +3.23 | 97.20%
| +2 |
| Sep 9September 9 | vs North Texas (9-5, 7-2) | W 54-32 | 6.57 | 6.66 | -0.09 | 47.72%
| +2 |
| Sep 16September 16 | at #20 TCU (11-3, 7-3) | L 36-56 | 6.81 | 7.84 | -1.03 | 25.37%
| +1 |
| Sep 23September 23 | vs Arkansas State (7-5, 6-2) | W 44-21 | 6.71 | 5.93 | +0.78 | 69.12%
| +2 |
| Sep 30September 30 | vs Connecticut (3-9, 2-6) | W 49-28 | 6.23 | 6.25 | -0.03 | 49.34%
| +1 |
| Oct 7October 7 | at Houston (7-5, 5-3) | L 22-35 | 6.40 | 6.81 | -0.41 | 39.68%
| 0 |
| Oct 21October 21 | at Cincinnati (4-8, 2-6) | W 31-28 | 5.37 | 5.69 | -0.32 | 41.94%
| +1 |
| Oct 27October 27 (Fri) | vs Tulsa (2-10, 1-7) | W 38-34 | 9.08 | 5.87 | +3.21 | 97.18%
| +1 |
| Nov 4November 4 | vs #18 UCF (13-0, 9-0) | L 24-31 | 5.49 | 8.09 | -2.60 | 4.42%
| +2 |
| Nov 11November 11 | at Navy (7-6, 4-4) | L 40-43 | 6.98 | 7.66 | -0.67 | 33.28%
| 0 |
| Nov 18November 18 | at #21 Memphis (10-3, 7-2) | L 45-66 | 6.63 | 8.97 | -2.35 | 5.99%
| 0 |
| Nov 25November 25 | vs Tulane (5-7, 3-5) | W 41-38 | 7.24 | 6.55 | +0.69 | 67.03%
| -2 |
| Dec 20December 20 (Wed) | vs Louisiana Tech (7-6, 4-4) * | L 10-51 | 3.92 | 5.49 | -1.57 | 15.15%
| -6 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-6, 4-4 | 6.39 | 6.59 | -0.200 | 5.93-7.07 (+1.07) | +4 |