| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 | vs Northwestern State (4-7, 4-5) | W 52-24 | 6.90 | 5.33 | +1.57 | 84.86%
| 0 |
| Sep 9September 9 | vs Mississippi State (9-4, 4-4) | L 21-57 | 3.94 | 7.65 | -3.71 | 2.56%
| -2 |
| Sep 16September 16 | at Western Kentucky (6-7, 4-4) | W 23-22 | 6.20 | 4.83 | +1.37 | 81.44%
| -1 |
| Sep 23September 23 | at South Carolina (9-4, 5-3) | L 16-17 | 5.92 | 6.54 | -0.62 | 34.57%
| +1 |
| Sep 30September 30 | vs South Alabama (4-8, 3-5) | W 34-16 | 6.65 | 4.97 | +1.68 | 86.54%
| +1 |
| Oct 7October 7 | at UAB (8-5, 6-2) | L 22-23 | 5.76 | 5.38 | +0.38 | 59.55%
| 0 |
| Oct 21October 21 | vs Southern Mississippi (8-5, 6-2) | L 27-34 | 5.73 | 5.01 | +0.72 | 67.66%
| +1 |
| Oct 28October 28 | at Rice (1-11, 1-7) | W 42-28 | 5.87 | 6.89 | -1.02 | 25.60%
| +4 |
| Nov 4November 4 | vs North Texas (9-5, 7-2) | L 23-24 | 4.57 | 5.32 | -0.76 | 31.38%
| +1 |
| Nov 11November 11 | vs Florida Atlantic (11-3, 9-0) | L 23-48 | 5.33 | 8.30 | -2.97 | 3.16%
| +1 |
| Nov 18November 18 | at UTEP (0-12, 0-8) | W 42-21 | 7.09 | 6.72 | +0.37 | 59.31%
| +1 |
| Nov 25November 25 | vs UT San Antonio (6-5, 3-5) | W 20-6 | 5.07 | 3.30 | +1.77 | 87.86%
| 0 |
| Dec 20December 20 (Wed) | at SMU (7-6, 4-4) * | W 51-10 | 5.49 | 3.92 | +1.57 | 84.83%
| +6 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-6, 4-4 | 5.73 | 5.59 | +0.138 | 7.09-5.91 (-0.09) | +13 |