| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 5September 5 | at Texas State (2-10, 2-6) | W 31-24 | 6.80 | 5.40 | +1.40 | 81.86%
| -1 |
| Sep 19September 19 | at North Texas (4-6, 3-4) | W 65-35 | 8.45 | 5.94 | +2.51 | 95.10%
| +2 |
| Sep 26September 26 | vs Stephen F. Austin (6-4, 1-0) | W 50-7 | 6.65 | 3.22 | +3.42 | 97.29%
| +1 |
| Oct 3October 3 | vs #25 Memphis (8-3, 5-3) | W 30-27 | 7.63 | 6.35 | +1.27 | 79.52%
| +1 |
| Oct 16October 16 (Fri) | at Tulane (6-6, 3-5) | W 37-34 | 7.17 | 5.03 | +2.15 | 92.27%
| 0 |
| Oct 24October 24 | vs #9 Cincinnati (9-1, 7-0) | L 13-42 | 3.61 | 7.84 | -4.23 | 0.83%
| +1 |
| Oct 31October 31 | vs Navy (3-7, 3-4) | W 51-37 | 8.54 | 5.73 | +2.81 | 96.43%
| 0 |
| Nov 7November 7 | at Temple (1-6, 1-6) | W 47-23 | 8.19 | 5.04 | +3.15 | 97.13%
| 0 |
| Nov 14November 14 | at Tulsa (6-3, 6-1) | L 24-28 | 4.62 | 5.48 | -0.86 | 28.92%
| +1 |
| Nov 28November 28 | at East Carolina (3-6, 3-5) | L 38-52 | 4.92 | 6.75 | -1.83 | 11.36%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-3, 4-3 | 6.59 | 5.65 | +0.940 | 6.81-3.19 (+0.19) | +4 |