| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 5September 5 | vs SMU (7-3, 4-3) | L 24-31 | 5.40 | 6.80 | -1.40 | 18.11%
| +1 |
| Sep 12September 12 | vs UT San Antonio (7-5, 4-2) | L 48-51 | 6.16 | 6.09 | +0.07 | 51.77%
| -2 |
| Sep 19September 19 | at Louisiana Monroe (0-10, 0-7) | W 38-17 | 6.75 | 5.62 | +1.13 | 76.65%
| +1 |
| Sep 26September 26 | at Boston College (6-5, 5-5) | L 21-24 | 5.17 | 4.57 | +0.60 | 65.04%
| 0 |
| Oct 10October 10 | at Troy (5-6, 3-4) | L 17-37 | 3.79 | 6.03 | -2.23 | 6.92%
| -1 |
| Oct 17October 17 | at South Alabama (4-7, 3-5) | L 20-30 | 5.27 | 4.75 | +0.52 | 62.99%
| 0 |
| Oct 24October 24 | at #12 BYU (11-1) | L 14-52 | 4.82 | 7.63 | -2.81 | 3.56%
| 0 |
| Oct 31October 31 | vs Louisiana (10-1, 7-1) | L 34-44 | 5.23 | 7.31 | -2.08 | 8.43%
| +1 |
| Nov 7November 7 | vs Appalachian State (9-3, 6-2) | L 17-38 | 6.18 | 6.00 | +0.18 | 54.46%
| -2 |
| Nov 14November 14 | at Georgia Southern (8-5, 4-4) | L 38-40 | 5.86 | 5.91 | -0.04 | 48.90%
| -1 |
| Nov 21November 21 | vs Arkansas State (4-7, 2-6) | W 47-45 | 8.02 | 7.33 | +0.69 | 67.07%
| +1 |
| Nov 28November 28 | vs #20 Coastal Carolina (11-1, 8-0) | L 14-49 | 6.36 | 7.53 | -1.17 | 22.49%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 2-10, 2-6 | 5.72 | 6.33 | -0.607 | 4.86-7.14 (-2.86) | -3 |