| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 (Thu) | at Central Arkansas (5-6, 2-2) | W 27-14 | 5.74 | 4.74 | +1.01 | 74.16%
| 0 |
| Sep 8September 8 (Thu) | vs #14 UT Martin (7-4, 5-0) | W 35-30 | 7.15 | 6.70 | +0.44 | 61.16%
| 0 |
| Sep 17September 17 | at #10 Arkansas (7-6, 3-5) | L 27-38 | 5.45 | 8.91 | -3.46 | 2.71%
| +3 |
| Sep 24September 24 | vs #3 South Dakota State (14-1, 9-0) | L 14-28 | 4.96 | 7.20 | -2.24 | 6.90%
| -1 |
| Oct 1October 1 | at North Dakota (7-5, 5-3) | L 31-48 | 6.59 | 7.36 | -0.76 | 31.18%
| +1 |
| Oct 8October 8 | vs #24 Southern Illinois (5-6, 4-4) | L 21-38 | 5.18 | 5.51 | -0.33 | 41.61%
| -2 |
| Oct 22October 22 | at Northern Iowa (6-5, 5-3) | L 20-41 | 4.70 | 6.61 | -1.91 | 10.40%
| -1 |
| Oct 29October 29 | vs Western Illinois (0-11, 0-8) | W 64-14 | 7.65 | 4.02 | +3.64 | 97.38%
| +3 |
| Nov 5November 5 | at South Dakota (3-8, 2-6) | L 13-20 | 4.74 | 5.84 | -1.10 | 23.91%
| +1 |
| Nov 12November 12 | vs Youngstown State (7-4, 5-3) | W 25-22 | 5.26 | 6.15 | -0.88 | 28.47%
| -2 |
| Nov 19November 19 | at Indiana State (2-9, 1-7) | W 24-7 | 5.52 | 4.88 | +0.64 | 65.92%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 5-6, 3-5 | 5.78 | 6.21 | -0.436 | 4.44-6.56 (+0.56) | +2 |