| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 (Thu) | vs Western Illinois (0-11, 0-8) | W 42-25 | 7.04 | 6.23 | +0.81 | 69.74%
| +1 |
| Sep 8September 8 (Thu) | at #7 Missouri State (5-6, 3-5) | L 30-35 | 6.70 | 7.15 | -0.44 | 38.81%
| 0 |
| Sep 17September 17 | at Boise State (10-4, 8-1) | L 7-30 | 3.17 | 4.61 | -1.44 | 17.38%
| 0 |
| Sep 24September 24 | vs Lindenwood (7-3, 2-3) | W 56-26 | 9.84 | 5.30 | +4.54 | 100.00%
| +2 |
| Oct 1October 1 | vs Tennessee Tech (4-7, 2-3) | W 45-28 | 7.92 | 6.10 | +1.82 | 88.48%
| 0 |
| Oct 8October 8 | at Murray State (2-9, 1-4) | W 45-16 | 8.11 | 4.78 | +3.33 | 97.25%
| +3 |
| Oct 22October 22 | at #3 Tennessee (11-2, 6-2) | L 24-65 | 5.16 | 8.39 | -3.23 | 2.82%
| -1 |
| Oct 29October 29 | at Houston Christian (2-9, 0-5) | W 52-28 | 8.08 | 5.45 | +2.63 | 95.72%
| +4 |
| Nov 5November 5 | vs Kennesaw State (5-6, 0-4) | L 27-44 | 5.74 | 5.08 | +0.66 | 66.37%
| -3 |
| Nov 12November 12 | at Tennessee State (4-7, 2-3) | W 20-3 | 4.80 | 4.05 | +0.75 | 68.48%
| 0 |
| Nov 19November 19 | vs Eastern Illinois (2-9, 1-5) | W 34-31 | 5.42 | 5.76 | -0.34 | 41.50%
| +4 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-4, 5-0 | 6.59 | 5.76 | +0.833 | 6.87-4.13 (+0.13) | +10 |