| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | at #12 Eastern Washington (3-8, 2-6) | L 29-36 | 6.75 | 6.08 | +0.68 | 66.74%
| -2 |
| Sep 10September 10 | vs #15 Jackson State (12-1, 10-0) * | L 3-16 | 2.33 | 5.16 | -2.83 | 3.51%
| +2 |
| Sep 17September 17 | at Middle Tennessee (8-5, 4-4) | L 6-49 | 3.75 | 6.21 | -2.46 | 5.18%
| -1 |
| Oct 1October 1 | vs Lane (5-5, 4-4) * | L 27-28 | 5.13 | 4.62 | +0.51 | 62.85%
| -2 |
| Oct 8October 8 | vs Bethune-Cookman (2-9, 2-6) | W 41-17 | 5.29 | 5.01 | +0.28 | 57.07%
| 0 |
| Oct 15October 15 | at Tennessee Tech (4-7, 2-3) | W 30-14 | 6.51 | 5.34 | +1.17 | 77.54%
| +3 |
| Oct 22October 22 | vs Eastern Illinois (2-9, 1-5) | W 37-17 | 5.18 | 3.13 | +2.05 | 91.28%
| +4 |
| Oct 29October 29 | at Murray State (2-9, 1-4) | L 3-19 | 4.82 | 5.05 | -0.23 | 44.08%
| -1 |
| Nov 5November 5 | vs #20 Southeast Missouri State (9-3, 5-0) | L 0-42 | 3.24 | 7.53 | -4.28 | 0.45%
| 0 |
| Nov 12November 12 | vs UT Martin (7-4, 5-0) | L 3-20 | 4.05 | 4.80 | -0.75 | 31.48%
| 0 |
| Nov 19November 19 | at Texas A&M-Commerce (5-6, 3-2) | W 22-14 | 3.93 | 5.48 | -1.55 | 15.59%
| +3 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 4-7, 2-3 | 4.71 | 5.33 | -0.615 | 4.56-6.44 (-0.56) | +6 |