| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 | vs Bethune-Cookman (7-5, 5-2) | W 34-3 | 6.82 | 4.36 | +2.46 | 94.80%
| +2 |
| Sep 22September 22 | at Eastern Illinois (3-8, 3-5) * | W 41-40 | 6.18 | 6.75 | -0.57 | 35.71%
| -2 |
| Sep 29September 29 | at Vanderbilt (6-7, 3-5) | L 27-31 | 5.65 | 8.64 | -2.99 | 3.11%
| +2 |
| Oct 6October 6 | at Austin Peay (5-6, 3-5) | L 34-49 | 5.20 | 6.98 | -1.78 | 12.01%
| -5 |
| Oct 13October 13 | at Murray State (5-6, 5-3) | L 21-45 | 5.59 | 6.40 | -0.81 | 30.19%
| -1 |
| Oct 20October 20 | vs Tennessee Tech (1-10, 1-7) | W 41-14 | 7.61 | 3.99 | +3.63 | 97.38%
| +2 |
| Nov 3November 3 | at #24 Southeast Missouri State (9-4, 6-2) | L 21-38 | 6.68 | 6.72 | -0.04 | 49.01%
| -2 |
| Nov 10November 10 | vs #9 Jacksonville State (9-4, 7-1) | L 14-41 | 6.58 | 6.09 | +0.49 | 62.27%
| -3 |
| Nov 17November 17 | vs UT Martin (2-9, 2-6) | W 31-28 | 3.75 | 5.56 | -1.80 | 11.70%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 4-5, 3-4 | 5.97 | 6.17 | -0.205 | 3.96-5.04 (+0.04) | -6 |