| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 4September 4 | at Illinois (5-7, 4-5) | W 37-30 | 6.06 | 5.28 | +0.78 | 69.13%
| 0 |
| Sep 11September 11 | vs Lamar (2-9, 0-8) | W 54-0 | 7.00 | 2.49 | +4.51 | 100.00%
| +2 |
| Sep 18September 18 | vs Middle Tennessee (7-6, 4-4) | W 27-13 | 5.08 | 3.62 | +1.46 | 82.97%
| -1 |
| Sep 25September 25 | at Memphis (6-6, 3-5) | W 31-28 | 4.34 | 7.14 | -2.80 | 3.58%
| +1 |
| Oct 2October 2 | vs UNLV (2-10, 2-6) | W 24-17 | 5.38 | 5.24 | +0.14 | 53.57%
| +3 |
| Oct 9October 9 | at Western Kentucky (9-5, 7-2) | W 52-46 | 7.42 | 7.53 | -0.11 | 47.26%
| 0 |
| Oct 16October 16 | vs Rice (4-8, 3-5) | W 45-0 | 6.50 | 1.96 | +4.54 | 100.00%
| +2 |
| Oct 23October 23 | at Louisiana Tech (3-9, 2-6) | W 45-16 | 6.66 | 5.65 | +1.01 | 74.20%
| +3 |
| Nov 6November 6 | at UTEP (7-6, 4-4) | W 44-23 | 7.48 | 6.21 | +1.27 | 79.45%
| 0 |
| Nov 13November 13 | vs Southern Mississippi (3-9, 2-6) | W 27-17 | 6.61 | 3.50 | +3.11 | 97.08%
| +1 |
| Nov 20November 20 | vs UAB (9-4, 6-2) | W 34-31 | 5.36 | 7.77 | -2.41 | 5.52%
| +1 |
| Nov 27November 27 | at North Texas (6-7, 5-3) | L 23-45 | 5.90 | 5.92 | -0.02 | 49.50%
| -1 |
| Dec 3December 3 (Fri) | vs Western Kentucky (9-5, 7-2) | W 49-41 | 6.62 | 7.47 | -0.85 | 29.12%
| +3 |
| Dec 21December 21 (Tue) | at San Diego State (12-2, 7-2) * | L 24-38 | 6.26 | 6.43 | -0.18 | 45.51%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 12-2, 8-1 | 6.13 | 5.65 | +0.474 | 8.37-5.63 (+3.63) | +13 |