| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 | at #19 Texas A&M (11-1, 7-1) | L 24-42 | 5.57 | 6.76 | -1.20 | 21.91%
| 0 |
| Sep 6September 6 | vs Texas State (6-6, 3-5) | L 36-43 | 6.54 | 7.20 | -0.66 | 33.52%
| +1 |
| Sep 13September 13 | vs #8 Incarnate Word (5-7, 3-4) | W 48-20 | 6.31 | 4.96 | +1.36 | 81.11%
| +4 |
| Sep 20September 20 | at Colorado State (2-10, 1-7) | W 17-16 | 5.75 | 5.43 | +0.32 | 58.15%
| -2 |
| Oct 4October 4 | at Temple (5-7, 3-5) | L 21-27 | 4.54 | 5.42 | -0.88 | 28.47%
| -2 |
| Oct 11October 11 | vs Rice (5-7, 2-6) | W 61-13 | 7.41 | 3.90 | +3.51 | 97.32%
| +2 |
| Oct 18October 18 | at North Texas (11-2, 7-2) | L 17-55 | 5.77 | 7.21 | -1.44 | 17.40%
| -3 |
| Oct 30October 30 (Thu) | vs Tulane (11-2, 8-1) | W 48-26 | 7.58 | 7.12 | +0.46 | 61.66%
| +4 |
| Nov 6November 6 (Thu) | at South Florida (9-4, 6-2) | L 23-55 | 4.65 | 9.42 | -4.77 | 0.00%
| -1 |
| Nov 15November 15 | at Charlotte (1-11, 0-8) | W 28-7 | 6.95 | 3.40 | +3.55 | 97.34%
| -1 |
| Nov 22November 22 | vs East Carolina (8-4, 6-2) | W 58-24 | 6.36 | 6.17 | +0.19 | 54.85%
| +3 |
| Nov 29November 29 | vs Army (6-6, 4-5) | L 24-27 | 5.85 | 4.97 | +0.88 | 71.44%
| -1 |
| Dec 26December 26 (Fri) | vs Florida International (7-5, 5-3) * | 8:00 PM | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-6, 4-4 | 6.09 | 5.95 | +0.145 | 6.23-5.77 (-0.23) | +4 |