| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 28August 28 | at New Mexico State (2-10) | W 30-3 | 7.29 | 2.84 | +4.45 | 100.00%
| -1 |
| Sep 4September 4 | vs Bethune-Cookman (2-9, 2-6) | W 38-28 | 6.57 | 7.11 | -0.54 | 36.49%
| +1 |
| Sep 10September 10 (Fri) | at Boise State (7-5, 5-3) | L 13-54 | 5.58 | 7.48 | -1.91 | 10.36%
| -5 |
| Sep 25September 25 | vs New Mexico (3-9, 1-7) | W 20-13 | 5.55 | 3.89 | +1.66 | 86.15%
| +1 |
| Oct 2October 2 | vs Old Dominion (6-7, 5-3) | W 28-21 | 5.23 | 4.21 | +1.02 | 74.50%
| +2 |
| Oct 9October 9 | at Southern Mississippi (3-9, 2-6) | W 26-13 | 7.00 | 4.03 | +2.97 | 96.85%
| +1 |
| Oct 16October 16 | vs Louisiana Tech (3-9, 2-6) | W 19-3 | 5.48 | 4.96 | +0.51 | 62.87%
| -1 |
| Oct 30October 30 | at Florida Atlantic (5-7, 3-5) | L 25-28 | 5.66 | 4.43 | +1.23 | 78.81%
| -2 |
| Nov 6November 6 | vs UT San Antonio (12-2, 8-1) | L 23-44 | 6.21 | 7.48 | -1.27 | 20.53%
| 0 |
| Nov 13November 13 | at North Texas (6-7, 5-3) | L 17-20 | 6.16 | 5.13 | +1.03 | 74.61%
| -1 |
| Nov 20November 20 | vs Rice (4-8, 3-5) | W 38-28 | 7.72 | 5.42 | +2.30 | 93.65%
| -1 |
| Nov 26November 26 (Fri) | at UAB (9-4, 6-2) | L 25-42 | 4.73 | 5.29 | -0.56 | 36.09%
| -2 |
| Dec 18December 18 | at Fresno State (10-3, 6-2) * | L 24-31 | 7.24 | 6.15 | +1.09 | 75.96%
| -2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-6, 4-4 | 6.15 | 5.24 | +0.917 | 8.47-4.53 (-1.47) | -10 |