| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 (Thu) | at UCF (9-4, 5-3) | L 31-36 | 4.35 | 6.74 | -2.39 | 5.70%
| +1 |
| Sep 10September 10 (Fri) | vs UTEP (7-6, 4-4) | W 54-13 | 7.48 | 5.58 | +1.91 | 89.62%
| +5 |
| Sep 18September 18 | vs #22 Oklahoma State (12-2, 8-2) | L 20-21 | 4.33 | 4.69 | -0.36 | 40.97%
| -1 |
| Sep 25September 25 | at Utah State (11-3, 7-2) | W 27-3 | 5.53 | 6.07 | -0.54 | 36.55%
| +2 |
| Oct 2October 2 | vs Nevada (8-5, 5-3) | L 31-41 | 5.00 | 5.87 | -0.87 | 28.87%
| -3 |
| Oct 9October 9 | at #10 BYU (10-3) | W 26-17 | 4.22 | 6.45 | -2.24 | 6.89%
| +4 |
| Oct 16October 16 | vs Air Force (10-3, 6-2) | L 17-24 | 5.53 | 5.48 | +0.05 | 51.17%
| -2 |
| Oct 30October 30 | at Colorado State (3-9, 2-6) | W 28-19 | 5.31 | 5.37 | -0.06 | 48.52%
| 0 |
| Nov 6November 6 | at #23 Fresno State (10-3, 6-2) | W 40-14 | 6.03 | 5.48 | +0.55 | 63.70%
| +2 |
| Nov 12November 12 (Fri) | vs Wyoming (7-6, 2-6) | W 23-13 | 5.59 | 6.13 | -0.53 | 36.63%
| +1 |
| Nov 20November 20 | vs New Mexico (3-9, 1-7) | W 37-0 | 6.19 | 2.04 | +4.15 | 98.64%
| 0 |
| Nov 26November 26 (Fri) | at #21 San Diego State (12-2, 7-2) | L 16-27 | 4.14 | 5.60 | -1.46 | 17.02%
| -3 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-5, 5-3 | 5.28 | 5.55 | -0.273 | 5.24-6.76 (+1.76) | +6 |