| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 | at Arizona (8-5, 4-5) | L 17-24 | 3.81 | 7.09 | -3.28 | 2.78%
| +2 |
| Sep 8September 8 | at Wyoming (4-8, 3-5) | W 34-31 | 5.94 | 7.74 | -1.79 | 11.86%
| +3 |
| Sep 15September 15 | vs Bowling Green (8-5, 6-2) | W 27-15 | 6.65 | 5.40 | +1.25 | 79.07%
| 0 |
| Sep 22September 22 | vs Coastal Carolina (8-5, 5-1) | W 38-28 | 6.00 | 5.33 | +0.67 | 66.52%
| -1 |
| Sep 29September 29 | at Western Michigan (4-8, 2-6) | W 37-17 | 7.44 | 5.33 | +2.11 | 91.94%
| +4 |
| Oct 6October 6 | vs Central Michigan (7-6, 4-4) | W 50-35 | 5.43 | 5.63 | -0.20 | 44.81%
| -1 |
| Oct 13October 13 | at Eastern Michigan (2-10, 1-7) | W 52-47 | 9.49 | 8.91 | +0.58 | 64.42%
| -1 |
| Oct 20October 20 | vs #21 Cincinnati (10-3, 5-2) | W 29-23 | 5.30 | 6.64 | -1.34 | 19.15%
| +1 |
| Oct 27October 27 | at Buffalo (4-8, 3-5) | W 25-20 | 5.80 | 5.55 | +0.25 | 56.33%
| 0 |
| Nov 6November 6 (Tue) | vs Ball State (9-4, 6-2) | L 27-34 | 6.74 | 5.95 | +0.80 | 69.54%
| +2 |
| Nov 14November 14 (Wed) | at Northern Illinois (12-2, 9-0) | L 24-31 | 5.58 | 7.64 | -2.06 | 8.57%
| -1 |
| Nov 20November 20 (Tue) | vs Akron (1-11, 0-8) | W 35-23 | 6.65 | 4.37 | +2.28 | 93.50%
| -1 |
| Dec 15December 15 | at Utah State (11-2, 6-0) * | L 15-41 | 4.15 | 9.39 | -5.24 | 0.00%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 9-4, 6-2 | 6.00 | 6.50 | -0.500 | 6.08-6.92 (+2.92) | +7 |