| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 | at UAB (3-9, 2-6) | W 39-29 | 6.76 | 5.89 | +0.88 | 71.34%
| +2 |
| Sep 8September 8 | vs Louisiana (9-4, 6-2) | L 24-37 | 5.77 | 6.27 | -0.51 | 37.21%
| -3 |
| Sep 15September 15 | vs Mississippi State (8-5, 4-4) | L 24-30 | 6.58 | 7.36 | -0.79 | 30.68%
| -4 |
| Sep 22September 22 | at North Texas (4-8, 3-5) | W 14-7 | 5.16 | 5.86 | -0.70 | 32.69%
| -1 |
| Sep 29September 29 | at South Alabama (2-11, 1-7) | W 31-10 | 6.35 | 4.00 | +2.35 | 94.00%
| -1 |
| Oct 11October 11 (Thu) | vs Western Kentucky (7-6, 4-4) | L 26-31 | 5.50 | 5.56 | -0.06 | 48.44%
| +1 |
| Oct 20October 20 | vs Florida International (3-9, 2-6) | W 38-37 | 5.02 | 6.39 | -1.36 | 18.70%
| +1 |
| Oct 27October 27 | at Florida Atlantic (3-9, 2-6) | L 27-34 | 5.37 | 5.26 | +0.10 | 52.61%
| 0 |
| Nov 3November 3 | at Tennessee (5-7, 1-7) | L 48-55 | 7.28 | 9.45 | -2.16 | 7.55%
| +1 |
| Nov 10November 10 | vs Navy (8-5) | W 41-31 | 7.86 | 7.06 | +0.80 | 69.55%
| 0 |
| Nov 17November 17 | vs Arkansas State (10-3, 7-1) | L 34-41 | 7.30 | 7.17 | +0.13 | 53.21%
| 0 |
| Nov 24November 24 | at Middle Tennessee (8-4, 6-2) | L 21-24 | 5.43 | 5.13 | +0.30 | 57.58%
| -3 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 5-7, 3-5 | 6.20 | 6.32 | -0.124 | 5.74-6.26 (-0.74) | -7 |