| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | vs UAB (2-10, 1-7) | W 34-31 | 6.90 | 6.88 | +0.03 | 50.64%
| -2 |
| Sep 7September 7 | vs Savannah State (0-11, 0-8) | W 66-3 | 7.38 | 3.00 | +4.38 | 100.00%
| +2 |
| Sep 12September 12 (Thu) | at Arkansas State (8-5, 5-2) | L 34-41 | 6.46 | 6.91 | -0.45 | 38.74%
| -4 |
| Sep 21September 21 | at Mississippi State (7-6, 3-5) | L 7-62 | 3.26 | 7.76 | -4.50 | 0.00%
| -2 |
| Sep 28September 28 | at Duke (10-4, 6-3) | L 31-38 | 5.63 | 7.67 | -2.05 | 8.77%
| 0 |
| Oct 5October 5 | vs South Alabama (6-6, 4-3) | W 34-33 | 6.03 | 7.59 | -1.56 | 15.30%
| -1 |
| Oct 12October 12 | at Georgia State (0-12, 0-7) | W 35-28 | 6.22 | 5.55 | +0.66 | 66.43%
| -2 |
| Oct 26October 26 | at Western Kentucky (8-4, 4-3) | W 32-26 | 6.30 | 5.98 | +0.32 | 58.17%
| +1 |
| Oct 31October 31 (Thu) | vs Louisiana Monroe (6-6, 4-3) | L 37-49 | 5.94 | 6.42 | -0.47 | 38.06%
| -2 |
| Nov 7November 7 (Thu) | at Louisiana (9-4, 5-2) | L 36-41 | 5.58 | 6.63 | -1.05 | 24.91%
| +2 |
| Nov 16November 16 | at Ole Miss (8-5, 3-5) | L 21-51 | 4.89 | 8.08 | -3.18 | 2.85%
| 0 |
| Nov 29November 29 (Fri) | vs Texas State (6-6, 2-5) | W 42-28 | 7.44 | 6.16 | +1.28 | 79.62%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-6, 4-3 | 6.04 | 6.67 | -0.630 | 4.83-7.17 (+1.17) | -7 |