| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | vs Nevada (3-10, 0-7) | L 26-28 | 5.92 | 7.15 | -1.22 | 21.41%
| 0 |
| Sep 7September 7 | at Memphis (11-2, 6-2) | L 17-38 | 4.18 | 6.31 | -2.12 | 7.97%
| -1 |
| Sep 14September 14 | at Iowa (8-4, 6-3) | L 21-38 | 5.38 | 6.70 | -1.31 | 19.66%
| -1 |
| Sep 21September 21 | vs #20 Florida A&M (7-5, 5-3) | W 34-12 | 8.74 | 5.12 | +3.62 | 97.37%
| 0 |
| Sep 28September 28 | vs UL Monroe (5-7, 3-5) | L 9-13 | 4.86 | 5.04 | -0.18 | 45.32%
| +1 |
| Oct 3October 3 (Thu) | vs Texas State (7-5, 5-3) | L 17-38 | 5.09 | 6.87 | -1.78 | 12.11%
| +1 |
| Oct 15October 15 (Tue) | at South Alabama (7-6, 5-3) | L 9-25 | 2.83 | 5.21 | -2.38 | 5.73%
| -3 |
| Oct 26October 26 | at Arkansas State (7-5, 5-3) | L 31-34 | 6.56 | 6.51 | +0.05 | 51.28%
| -2 |
| Nov 2November 2 | vs Coastal Carolina (6-6, 3-5) | W 38-24 | 7.33 | 5.13 | +2.20 | 92.75%
| -1 |
| Nov 16November 16 | at Georgia Southern (8-5, 6-2) | W 28-20 | 6.04 | 5.13 | +0.92 | 72.21%
| +1 |
| Nov 23November 23 | at Louisiana (10-3, 7-2) | L 30-51 | 5.05 | 7.62 | -2.57 | 4.58%
| -3 |
| Nov 30November 30 | vs Southern Miss (1-11, 0-8) | W 52-20 | 6.38 | 4.75 | +1.63 | 85.68%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 4-8, 3-5 | 5.74 | 5.99 | -0.257 | 5.16-6.84 (-1.16) | -7 |