| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 4September 4 | at #2 Oklahoma (11-2, 7-2) | L 35-40 | 5.14 | 5.73 | -0.59 | 35.26%
| -1 |
| Sep 11September 11 | vs Morgan State (2-9, 1-4) | W 69-20 | 7.04 | 3.68 | +3.36 | 97.27%
| +1 |
| Sep 18September 18 | at #17 Ole Miss (10-3, 6-2) | L 21-61 | 5.45 | 7.52 | -2.07 | 8.45%
| 0 |
| Sep 25September 25 | vs UAB (9-4, 6-2) | L 21-28 | 5.06 | 5.77 | -0.71 | 32.45%
| -2 |
| Oct 2October 2 | at East Carolina (7-5, 5-3) | L 29-52 | 5.86 | 8.09 | -2.23 | 6.92%
| -4 |
| Oct 7October 7 (Thu) | vs Houston (12-2, 8-1) | L 22-40 | 4.46 | 6.04 | -1.58 | 15.06%
| -1 |
| Oct 21October 21 (Thu) | at #21 SMU (8-4, 4-4) | L 26-55 | 6.70 | 7.46 | -0.76 | 31.27%
| -1 |
| Oct 30October 30 | vs #2 Cincinnati (13-1, 9-0) | L 12-31 | 4.70 | 5.59 | -0.89 | 28.43%
| -2 |
| Nov 6November 6 | at UCF (9-4, 5-3) | L 10-14 | 4.36 | 4.86 | -0.50 | 37.44%
| +1 |
| Nov 13November 13 | vs Tulsa (7-6, 5-3) | L 13-20 | 4.89 | 4.96 | -0.07 | 48.15%
| +4 |
| Nov 20November 20 | vs South Florida (2-10, 1-7) | W 45-14 | 8.49 | 3.91 | +4.58 | 100.00%
| +1 |
| Nov 27November 27 | at Memphis (6-6, 3-5) | L 28-33 | 5.80 | 5.45 | +0.34 | 58.64%
| -4 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 2-10, 1-7 | 5.67 | 5.86 | -0.198 | 4.99-7.01 (-2.99) | -8 |