| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 | vs South Alabama (7-6, 4-4) | W 37-17 | 8.23 | 4.27 | +3.95 | 97.87%
| +2 |
| Sep 9September 9 | vs #20 Ole Miss (11-2, 6-2) | L 20-37 | 4.17 | 5.76 | -1.59 | 14.85%
| -1 |
| Sep 16September 16 | at Southern Mississippi (3-9, 2-6) | W 21-3 | 5.61 | 3.31 | +2.29 | 93.59%
| 0 |
| Sep 23September 23 | vs Nicholls (6-5, 6-0) | W 36-7 | 7.03 | 5.08 | +1.96 | 90.24%
| +1 |
| Sep 30September 30 | vs UAB (4-8, 3-5) | W 35-23 | 7.00 | 5.87 | +1.14 | 76.85%
| -1 |
| Oct 13October 13 (Fri) | at Memphis (10-3, 6-2) | W 31-21 | 5.76 | 5.90 | -0.15 | 46.27%
| +2 |
| Oct 21October 21 | vs North Texas (5-7, 3-5) | W 35-28 | 6.36 | 5.68 | +0.68 | 66.89%
| -1 |
| Oct 28October 28 | at Rice (6-7, 4-4) | W 30-28 | 6.53 | 5.65 | +0.88 | 71.47%
| 0 |
| Nov 4November 4 | at East Carolina (2-10, 1-7) | W 13-10 | 5.33 | 4.63 | +0.70 | 67.28%
| 0 |
| Nov 11November 11 | vs Tulsa (4-8, 2-6) | W 24-22 | 5.58 | 6.45 | -0.87 | 28.83%
| 0 |
| Nov 18November 18 | at Florida Atlantic (4-8, 3-5) | W 24-8 | 5.51 | 3.84 | +1.67 | 86.38%
| 0 |
| Nov 24November 24 (Fri) | vs UT San Antonio (9-4, 7-1) | W 29-16 | 5.59 | 4.75 | +0.84 | 70.53%
| +4 |
| Dec 2December 2 | vs #25 SMU (11-3, 9-0) | L 14-26 | 4.34 | 5.08 | -0.74 | 31.78%
| +2 |
| Dec 27December 27 (Wed) | vs Virginia Tech (7-6, 5-3) * | L 20-41 | 4.67 | 6.38 | -1.71 | 12.98%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 11-3, 8-1 | 5.79 | 5.23 | +0.564 | 8.56-5.44 (+2.44) | +7 |