| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 | at Houston (4-8, 2-7) | L 14-17 | 5.87 | 4.64 | +1.23 | 78.82%
| -3 |
| Sep 9September 9 | vs Texas State (8-5, 4-4) | W 20-13 | 4.04 | 4.10 | -0.06 | 48.50%
| -1 |
| Sep 15September 15 (Fri) | vs Army (6-6, 0-1) | L 29-37 | 7.35 | 5.33 | +2.02 | 90.96%
| -1 |
| Sep 23September 23 | at #23 Tennessee (9-4, 4-4) | L 14-45 | 3.94 | 7.76 | -3.82 | 2.43%
| -2 |
| Oct 7October 7 | at Temple (3-9, 1-7) | W 49-34 | 7.28 | 5.77 | +1.51 | 83.87%
| +2 |
| Oct 14October 14 | vs UAB (4-8, 3-5) | W 41-20 | 5.14 | 5.13 | +0.02 | 50.39%
| +2 |
| Oct 21October 21 | at Florida Atlantic (4-8, 3-5) | W 36-10 | 5.53 | 2.61 | +2.92 | 96.75%
| -1 |
| Oct 28October 28 | vs East Carolina (2-10, 1-7) | W 41-27 | 7.80 | 4.69 | +3.11 | 97.08%
| 0 |
| Nov 4November 4 | at North Texas (5-7, 3-5) | W 37-29 | 5.54 | 5.96 | -0.42 | 39.37%
| +3 |
| Nov 11November 11 | vs Rice (6-7, 4-4) | W 34-14 | 5.44 | 4.09 | +1.35 | 81.07%
| 0 |
| Nov 17November 17 (Fri) | vs South Florida (7-6, 4-4) | W 49-21 | 7.41 | 5.68 | +1.73 | 87.26%
| +2 |
| Nov 24November 24 (Fri) | at #23 Tulane (11-3, 8-1) | L 16-29 | 4.75 | 5.59 | -0.84 | 29.44%
| -4 |
| Dec 19December 19 (Tue) | at Marshall (6-7, 3-5) * | W 35-17 | 5.36 | 5.40 | -0.04 | 49.07%
| -2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 9-4, 7-1 | 5.71 | 5.19 | +0.524 | 8.35-4.65 (+0.65) | -5 |