| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 | vs Northwestern (6-6, 4-5) | W 23-3 | 5.69 | 3.76 | +1.93 | 89.86%
| +5 |
| Sep 6September 6 | at South Alabama (4-8, 3-5) | W 33-31 | 5.64 | 6.48 | -0.84 | 29.49%
| +1 |
| Sep 13September 13 | vs Duke (8-5, 7-2) | W 34-27 | 6.76 | 6.03 | +0.74 | 68.12%
| 0 |
| Sep 20September 20 | at #13 Ole Miss (11-1, 7-1) | L 10-45 | 4.15 | 7.94 | -3.79 | 2.46%
| 0 |
| Sep 27September 27 | at Tulsa (4-8, 1-7) | W 31-14 | 5.92 | 4.63 | +1.29 | 79.86%
| +1 |
| Oct 9October 9 (Thu) | vs East Carolina (8-4, 6-2) | W 26-19 | 7.39 | 4.66 | +2.73 | 96.16%
| -1 |
| Oct 18October 18 | vs Army (6-6, 4-5) | W 24-17 | 6.93 | 4.90 | +2.03 | 91.02%
| -1 |
| Oct 30October 30 (Thu) | at UTSA (6-6, 4-4) | L 26-48 | 7.12 | 7.58 | -0.46 | 38.30%
| -4 |
| Nov 7November 7 (Fri) | at #22 Memphis (8-4, 4-4) | W 38-32 | 8.16 | 6.30 | +1.86 | 88.97%
| +1 |
| Nov 15November 15 | vs Florida Atlantic (4-8, 3-5) | W 35-24 | 6.30 | 5.49 | +0.81 | 69.80%
| +3 |
| Nov 22November 22 | at Temple (5-7, 3-5) | W 37-13 | 5.97 | 3.58 | +2.39 | 94.33%
| +1 |
| Nov 29November 29 | vs Charlotte (1-11, 0-8) | W 27-0 | 6.26 | 2.86 | +3.40 | 97.28%
| -1 |
| Dec 5December 5 (Fri) | vs #24 North Texas (11-2, 7-2) | W 34-21 | 4.65 | 6.10 | -1.45 | 17.12%
| +5 |
| Dec 20December 20 | at #6 Ole Miss (11-1, 7-1) | 3:30 PM | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 11-2, 8-1 | 6.15 | 5.49 | +0.659 | 8.63-4.37 (+2.37) | +10 |