| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 | vs Northwestern (5-3, 3-2) | W 23-3 | 5.69 | 3.76 | +1.93 | 89.86%
| +5 |
| Sep 6September 6 | at South Alabama (2-7, 1-4) | W 33-31 | 5.64 | 6.48 | -0.84 | 29.49%
| +1 |
| Sep 13September 13 | vs Duke (5-3, 4-1) | W 34-27 | 6.76 | 6.03 | +0.74 | 68.12%
| 0 |
| Sep 20September 20 | at #13 Ole Miss (8-1, 5-1) | L 10-45 | 4.15 | 7.94 | -3.79 | 2.46%
| 0 |
| Sep 27September 27 | at Tulsa (2-6, 0-5) | W 31-14 | 5.92 | 4.63 | +1.29 | 79.86%
| +1 |
| Oct 9October 9 (Thu) | vs East Carolina (5-3, 3-1) | W 26-19 | 7.39 | 4.66 | +2.73 | 96.16%
| -1 |
| Oct 18October 18 | vs Army (4-4, 2-3) | W 24-17 | 6.93 | 4.90 | +2.03 | 91.02%
| -1 |
| Oct 30October 30 (Thu) | at UTSA (4-4, 2-2) | L 26-48 | 7.12 | 7.58 | -0.46 | 38.30%
| -4 |
| Nov 7November 7 (Fri) | at #23 Memphis (8-1, 4-1) | 9:00 PM | | | | | |
| Nov 15November 15 | vs Florida Atlantic (3-5, 2-3) | | | | | | |
| Nov 22November 22 | at Temple (5-4, 3-2) | | | | | | |
| Nov 29November 29 | vs Charlotte (1-7, 0-5) | | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-2, 3-1 | 6.14 | 5.74 | +0.396 | 4.95-3.05 (+1.05) | +1 |