| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 4September 4 | vs #11 Montana State (12-3, 7-1) | W 19-16 | 4.52 | 4.51 | +0.01 | 50.14%
| 0 |
| Sep 11September 11 | at Northern Illinois (9-5, 7-2) | W 50-43 | 5.82 | 6.45 | -0.63 | 34.37%
| +2 |
| Sep 18September 18 | vs Ball State (6-7, 4-4) | W 45-12 | 6.10 | 3.47 | +2.63 | 95.74%
| +3 |
| Sep 25September 25 | at Connecticut (1-11) | W 24-22 | 5.04 | 4.13 | +0.91 | 72.09%
| -1 |
| Oct 9October 9 | at Air Force (10-3, 6-2) | L 14-24 | 4.67 | 4.34 | +0.33 | 58.44%
| -1 |
| Oct 16October 16 | vs Fresno State (10-3, 6-2) | L 0-17 | 4.40 | 3.65 | +0.76 | 68.59%
| -5 |
| Oct 23October 23 | vs New Mexico (3-9, 1-7) | L 3-14 | 3.86 | 4.71 | -0.85 | 29.33%
| -2 |
| Oct 30October 30 | at San José State (5-7, 3-5) | L 21-27 | 5.56 | 6.84 | -1.29 | 20.15%
| -2 |
| Nov 6November 6 | vs Colorado State (3-9, 2-6) | W 31-17 | 6.53 | 5.03 | +1.51 | 83.74%
| +1 |
| Nov 12November 12 (Fri) | at Boise State (7-5, 5-3) | L 13-23 | 6.13 | 5.59 | +0.53 | 63.33%
| -1 |
| Nov 20November 20 | at Utah State (11-3, 7-2) | W 44-17 | 9.44 | 4.96 | +4.48 | 100.00%
| +2 |
| Nov 27November 27 | vs Hawai'i (6-7, 3-5) | L 14-38 | 4.62 | 7.31 | -2.69 | 3.99%
| +1 |
| Dec 21December 21 (Tue) | vs Kent State (7-7, 6-3) * | W 52-38 | 8.36 | 8.41 | -0.05 | 48.69%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-6, 2-6 | 5.78 | 5.36 | +0.424 | 7.29-5.71 (-0.29) | -3 |