| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 (Thu) | vs Incarnate Word (10-3, 7-1) | W 44-41 | 6.34 | 6.60 | -0.26 | 43.46%
| +1 |
| Sep 11September 11 | at Michigan State (11-2, 7-2) | L 14-42 | 3.95 | 9.02 | -5.07 | 0.00%
| 0 |
| Sep 25September 25 | vs Western Illinois (2-9, 2-6) | L 35-38 | 5.27 | 5.88 | -0.61 | 34.68%
| -1 |
| Oct 2October 2 | at #13 Northern Iowa (6-6, 4-4) | L 7-34 | 3.62 | 8.08 | -4.46 | 0.00%
| -2 |
| Oct 9October 9 | vs #16 Missouri State (8-4, 6-2) | W 41-33 | 6.90 | 6.62 | +0.28 | 57.07%
| +4 |
| Oct 23October 23 | at Indiana State (5-6, 3-5) | L 17-28 | 5.65 | 6.19 | -0.54 | 36.55%
| -3 |
| Oct 30October 30 | vs #13 South Dakota State (11-4, 5-3) | L 16-47 | 5.19 | 7.90 | -2.71 | 3.90%
| +1 |
| Nov 6November 6 | at North Dakota (5-6, 3-5) | L 21-24 | 4.48 | 5.28 | -0.80 | 30.36%
| -1 |
| Nov 13November 13 | vs #6 North Dakota State (14-1, 8-1) | L 17-49 | 4.43 | 10.56 | -6.13 | 0.00%
| -1 |
| Nov 20November 20 | at #15 Southern Illinois (8-5, 6-4) | W 35-18 | 5.28 | 6.14 | -0.86 | 28.92%
| +2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 3-7, 2-6 | 5.11 | 7.14 | -2.029 | 2.35-7.65 (+0.65) | 0 |