| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 28August 28 | vs Eastern Illinois (1-10, 1-6) | W 26-21 | 4.38 | 5.48 | -1.10 | 23.77%
| +3 |
| Sep 11September 11 | at Northwestern (3-9, 1-8) | L 6-24 | 2.97 | 4.44 | -1.47 | 16.84%
| +1 |
| Sep 18September 18 | at Eastern Kentucky (7-4, 5-2) | W 23-21 | 5.06 | 4.56 | +0.51 | 62.71%
| -1 |
| Sep 25September 25 | vs #3 South Dakota State (11-4, 5-3) | L 0-44 | 3.32 | 8.76 | -5.44 | 0.00%
| -1 |
| Oct 2October 2 | at South Dakota (7-5, 5-4) | L 10-38 | 3.94 | 5.71 | -1.77 | 12.18%
| -2 |
| Oct 9October 9 | vs Western Illinois (2-9, 2-6) | W 37-27 | 8.24 | 5.48 | +2.76 | 96.27%
| +2 |
| Oct 16October 16 | at #23 Missouri State (8-4, 6-2) | L 7-37 | 4.58 | 6.31 | -1.74 | 12.67%
| -2 |
| Oct 23October 23 | vs Youngstown State (3-7, 2-6) | W 28-17 | 6.19 | 5.65 | +0.54 | 63.41%
| +3 |
| Oct 30October 30 | at #2 North Dakota State (14-1, 8-1) | L 2-44 | 3.87 | 8.67 | -4.80 | 0.00%
| -1 |
| Nov 13November 13 | vs #16 Southern Illinois (8-5, 6-4) | L 21-47 | 4.34 | 6.67 | -2.33 | 6.14%
| -3 |
| Nov 20November 20 | at Illinois State (4-7, 2-6) | W 15-10 | 4.69 | 4.52 | +0.17 | 54.26%
| +2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 5-6, 3-5 | 4.66 | 5.96 | -1.306 | 3.48-7.52 (+1.52) | +1 |