| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | vs Duquesne (4-7, 3-4) | W 31-14 | 6.11 | 4.92 | +1.19 | 77.95%
| +2 |
| Sep 10September 10 | vs Dayton (8-3, 6-2) | W 49-16 | 8.69 | 3.05 | +5.64 | 100.00%
| 0 |
| Sep 17September 17 | at #9 Kentucky (7-6, 3-5) | L 0-31 | 4.17 | 6.76 | -2.59 | 4.48%
| +2 |
| Oct 1October 1 | at #1 North Dakota State (12-3, 7-2) | L 14-27 | 5.62 | 5.81 | -0.19 | 45.10%
| -1 |
| Oct 8October 8 | vs North Dakota (7-5, 5-3) | L 30-35 | 6.94 | 6.75 | +0.19 | 54.67%
| 0 |
| Oct 15October 15 | vs Indiana State (2-9, 1-7) | W 48-42 | 6.70 | 8.89 | -2.19 | 7.29%
| +1 |
| Oct 22October 22 | at Western Illinois (0-11, 0-8) | W 28-27 | 6.62 | 4.92 | +1.70 | 86.80%
| -1 |
| Oct 29October 29 | vs South Dakota (3-8, 2-6) | W 45-24 | 6.63 | 5.17 | +1.47 | 83.06%
| +1 |
| Nov 5November 5 | at Illinois State (6-5, 4-4) | W 19-17 | 5.03 | 4.48 | +0.55 | 63.72%
| 0 |
| Nov 12November 12 | at Missouri State (5-6, 3-5) | L 22-25 | 6.15 | 5.26 | +0.88 | 71.49%
| +2 |
| Nov 19November 19 | vs Southern Illinois (5-6, 4-4) | W 28-21 | 5.16 | 6.79 | -1.63 | 14.31%
| +4 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-4, 5-3 | 6.22 | 5.67 | +0.547 | 6.09-4.91 (+0.91) | +10 |