| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 4September 4 (Sun) | at #24 West Virginia (10-3, 5-2) | L 13-34 | 4.41 | 5.03 | -0.62 | 34.47%
| 0 |
| Sep 10September 10 | vs Southern Mississippi (12-2, 7-2) | W 26-20 | 4.95 | 5.47 | -0.52 | 37.00%
| +4 |
| Sep 17September 17 | at Ohio (10-4, 6-3) | L 7-44 | 5.37 | 6.58 | -1.21 | 21.60%
| -4 |
| Sep 24September 24 | vs #13 Virginia Tech (11-3, 7-2) | L 10-30 | 4.84 | 6.00 | -1.16 | 22.66%
| 0 |
| Oct 1October 1 | at Louisville (7-6, 5-2) | W 17-13 | 4.85 | 5.19 | -0.34 | 41.48%
| +2 |
| Oct 8October 8 | at UCF (5-7, 3-5) | L 6-16 | 2.78 | 5.37 | -2.59 | 4.46%
| +2 |
| Oct 15October 15 | vs Rice (4-8, 3-5) | W 24-20 | 4.79 | 6.27 | -1.49 | 16.53%
| +1 |
| Oct 22October 22 | at #19 Houston (13-1, 8-1) | L 28-63 | 5.99 | 10.90 | -4.91 | 0.00%
| -2 |
| Oct 29October 29 | vs UAB (3-9, 3-5) | W 59-14 | 6.59 | 4.38 | +2.21 | 92.90%
| +4 |
| Nov 12November 12 | at Tulsa (8-5, 7-1) | L 17-59 | 5.51 | 8.02 | -2.51 | 4.90%
| -2 |
| Nov 17November 17 (Thu) | at Memphis (2-10, 1-7) | W 23-22 | 4.95 | 3.99 | +0.97 | 73.29%
| -6 |
| Nov 26November 26 | vs East Carolina (5-7, 4-4) | W 34-27 | 8.09 | 4.77 | +3.31 | 97.25%
| +2 |
| Dec 20December 20 (Tue) | vs Florida International (8-5, 5-3) * | W 20-10 | 4.59 | 4.44 | +0.15 | 53.88%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-6, 5-3 | 5.26 | 5.84 | -0.582 | 5.00-8.00 (+2.00) | +1 |