| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 10September 10 | at #18 Florida (7-6, 3-5) | L 0-39 | 4.08 | 6.83 | -2.75 | 3.77%
| -1 |
| Sep 17September 17 | vs Tulane (2-11, 1-7) | L 10-49 | 4.29 | 7.11 | -2.82 | 3.54%
| -3 |
| Sep 24September 24 | at East Carolina (5-7, 4-4) | L 23-28 | 5.09 | 7.50 | -2.41 | 5.51%
| +4 |
| Oct 1October 1 | at Troy (3-9, 2-6) | L 23-24 | 4.56 | 5.99 | -1.42 | 17.64%
| +2 |
| Oct 8October 8 | vs Mississippi State (7-6, 2-6) | L 3-21 | 4.83 | 6.59 | -1.76 | 12.32%
| -2 |
| Oct 15October 15 | at Tulsa (8-5, 7-1) | L 20-37 | 5.51 | 6.64 | -1.14 | 23.09%
| +2 |
| Oct 20October 20 (Thu) | vs UCF (5-7, 3-5) | W 26-24 | 6.44 | 5.91 | +0.53 | 63.13%
| 0 |
| Oct 29October 29 | at Marshall (7-6, 5-3) | L 14-59 | 4.38 | 6.59 | -2.21 | 7.09%
| -4 |
| Nov 5November 5 | vs #13 Houston (13-1, 8-1) | L 13-56 | 4.53 | 7.88 | -3.35 | 2.75%
| 0 |
| Nov 12November 12 | at Memphis (2-10, 1-7) | W 41-35 | 7.57 | 6.19 | +1.37 | 81.45%
| -2 |
| Nov 17November 17 (Thu) | vs #20 Southern Mississippi (12-2, 7-2) | W 34-31 | 5.45 | 8.05 | -2.60 | 4.43%
| +3 |
| Nov 26November 26 | at Florida Atlantic (1-11, 0-8) | L 35-38 | 6.02 | 5.86 | +0.16 | 53.94%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 3-9, 3-5 | 5.31 | 6.78 | -1.470 | 2.79-9.21 (+0.21) | -2 |