| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5September 5 | vs Eastern Kentucky (3-6) | W 59-0 | 7.55 | 3.53 | +4.02 | 98.09% | +1 |
| Sep 19September 19 | vs #24 Appalachian State (9-3, 6-2) | W 17-7 | 5.41 | 5.06 | +0.36 | 59.03% | +1 |
| Oct 10October 10 | at Western Kentucky (5-7, 4-3) | W 38-14 | 5.55 | 4.59 | +0.95 | 73.06% | +3 |
| Oct 17October 17 | at Louisiana Tech (5-5, 4-2) | W 35-17 | 5.66 | 4.60 | +1.06 | 75.27% | -1 |
| Oct 24October 24 | vs Florida Atlantic (5-4, 4-2) | W 20-9 | 6.31 | 3.49 | +2.82 | 96.47% | -1 |
| Nov 7November 7 | vs UMass (0-4) | W 51-10 | 6.78 | 3.46 | +3.33 | 97.25% | +1 |
| Nov 14November 14 | vs Middle Tennessee (3-6, 2-3) | W 42-14 | 6.93 | 4.46 | +2.48 | 94.90% | +2 |
| Dec 5December 5 | vs Rice (2-3, 2-3) | L 0-20 | 3.89 | 3.62 | +0.27 | 56.77% | -4 |
| Dec 18December 18 (Fri) | vs UAB (6-3, 4-1) | L 13-22 | 5.26 | 6.32 | -1.07 | 24.47% | 0 |
| Dec 25December 25 (Fri) | at Buffalo (6-1, 5-1) * | L 10-17 | 4.20 | 4.21 | -0.01 | 49.70% | +1 |
| Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin | ||
| 7-3, 4-2 | 5.86 | 4.41 | +1.449 | 7.25-2.75 (-0.25) | +3 |