Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 12September 12 | at Louisville (4-7, 3-7) | L 21-35 | 4.28 | 6.76 | -2.49 | 5.03%
| +1 |
| Sep 19September 19 | vs Liberty (10-1) | L 24-30 | 5.49 | 6.17 | -0.67 | 33.27%
| 0 |
| Oct 3October 3 | at Middle Tennessee (3-6, 2-3) | W 20-17 | 4.41 | 4.83 | -0.43 | 39.21%
| -1 |
| Oct 10October 10 | vs Marshall (7-3, 4-2) | L 14-38 | 4.59 | 5.55 | -0.95 | 26.91%
| -3 |
| Oct 17October 17 | at UAB (6-3, 4-1) | L 14-37 | 3.73 | 5.42 | -1.69 | 13.29%
| -2 |
| Oct 24October 24 | vs Chattanooga (3-2) | W 13-10 | 4.38 | 3.46 | +0.92 | 72.25%
| -2 |
| Oct 31October 31 | at #11 BYU (11-1) | L 10-41 | 4.03 | 5.94 | -1.91 | 10.32%
| 0 |
| Nov 7November 7 | at Florida Atlantic (5-4, 4-2) | L 6-10 | 3.84 | 4.40 | -0.57 | 35.81%
| +1 |
| Nov 14November 14 | vs Southern Mississippi (3-7, 2-4) | W 10-7 | 4.34 | 4.33 | +0.01 | 50.22%
| 0 |
| Nov 21November 21 | vs Florida International (0-5, 0-3) | W 38-21 | 4.71 | 3.25 | +1.46 | 83.05%
| +2 |
| Dec 6December 6 (Sun) | at Charlotte (2-4, 2-2) | W 37-19 | 6.81 | 4.54 | +2.27 | 93.38%
| +1 |
| Dec 26December 26 | at Georgia State (6-4, 4-4) * | L 21-39 | 4.81 | 5.63 | -0.81 | 30.03%
| -2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 5-7, 4-3 | 4.60 | 5.05 | -0.458 | 4.93-7.07 (+0.07) | -5 |