| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | at Kansas (3-9, 1-8) | L 17-24 | 5.14 | 5.46 | -0.32 | 41.91%
| +1 |
| Sep 7September 7 | vs Dayton (8-3, 6-2) | L 35-42 | 6.92 | 6.37 | +0.54 | 63.60%
| -2 |
| Sep 14September 14 | vs Eastern Kentucky (7-5, 5-3) | W 19-7 | 5.12 | 4.13 | +0.98 | 73.70%
| 0 |
| Sep 21September 21 | vs Eastern Illinois (1-11, 1-7) | W 16-6 | 4.70 | 3.23 | +1.47 | 83.18%
| +2 |
| Oct 5October 5 | at South Dakota (5-7, 4-4) | L 0-38 | 3.75 | 8.29 | -4.53 | 0.00%
| -1 |
| Oct 12October 12 | vs Western Illinois (1-11, 1-7) | W 20-10 | 4.51 | 3.34 | +1.17 | 77.56%
| -1 |
| Oct 19October 19 | vs #3 South Dakota State (8-5, 5-4) | L 23-42 | 4.51 | 7.18 | -2.67 | 4.09%
| -3 |
| Oct 26October 26 | at #7 Illinois State (10-5, 5-4) | L 7-24 | 2.87 | 4.73 | -1.86 | 10.91%
| -1 |
| Nov 2November 2 | vs Southern Illinois (7-5, 5-3) | L 14-23 | 4.29 | 5.11 | -0.81 | 30.08%
| -1 |
| Nov 9November 9 | at #7 Northern Iowa (10-5, 7-2) | L 9-17 | 5.39 | 4.96 | +0.43 | 60.78%
| -3 |
| Nov 16November 16 | vs Youngstown State (6-6, 2-6) | W 24-17 | 6.06 | 5.52 | +0.54 | 63.50%
| +1 |
| Nov 23November 23 | at Missouri State (1-10, 1-7) | W 51-24 | 8.34 | 5.01 | +3.33 | 97.25%
| +2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 5-7, 3-5 | 5.13 | 5.29 | -0.157 | 6.07-5.93 (-1.07) | -6 |