| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 (Fri) | at Wake Forest (11-3, 7-3) | L 10-42 | 3.53 | 5.03 | -1.50 | 16.40%
| -1 |
| Sep 11September 11 | vs Hampton (5-6, 3-4) | W 47-7 | 6.89 | 3.34 | +3.55 | 97.34%
| 0 |
| Sep 18September 18 | at Liberty (8-5) | L 17-45 | 3.24 | 6.06 | -2.82 | 3.54%
| 0 |
| Sep 25September 25 | vs Buffalo (4-8, 2-6) | L 34-35 | 5.04 | 4.64 | +0.39 | 59.92%
| -2 |
| Oct 2October 2 | at UTEP (7-6, 4-4) | L 21-28 | 4.21 | 5.23 | -1.02 | 25.47%
| -2 |
| Oct 9October 9 | at Marshall (7-6, 5-3) | L 13-20 | 4.30 | 5.00 | -0.70 | 32.70%
| 0 |
| Oct 16October 16 | vs Western Kentucky (9-5, 7-2) | L 20-43 | 5.72 | 6.43 | -0.71 | 32.50%
| -2 |
| Oct 30October 30 | vs Louisiana Tech (3-9, 2-6) | W 23-20 | 4.20 | 5.15 | -0.95 | 26.99%
| -2 |
| Nov 6November 6 | at Florida International (1-11, 0-8) | W 47-24 | 6.81 | 6.59 | +0.22 | 55.46%
| 0 |
| Nov 13November 13 | vs Florida Atlantic (5-7, 3-5) | W 30-16 | 5.97 | 5.60 | +0.37 | 59.40%
| 0 |
| Nov 20November 20 | at Middle Tennessee (7-6, 4-4) | W 24-17 | 6.69 | 4.93 | +1.76 | 87.63%
| +2 |
| Nov 27November 27 | vs Charlotte (5-7, 3-5) | W 56-34 | 8.13 | 5.65 | +2.48 | 94.91%
| +2 |
| Dec 20December 20 (Mon) | at Tulsa (7-6, 5-3) * | L 17-30 | 5.23 | 5.34 | -0.11 | 47.20%
| -2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-7, 5-3 | 5.36 | 5.34 | +0.015 | 6.39-6.61 (-0.39) | -7 |