| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 | vs Lamar (4-8, 1-6) | W 40-0 | 5.67 | 2.94 | +2.73 | 96.18%
| +3 |
| Sep 8September 8 | at Troy (5-7, 3-5) | W 37-24 | 6.27 | 5.77 | +0.51 | 62.75%
| +3 |
| Sep 15September 15 | at Oklahoma State (8-5, 5-4) | L 24-65 | 5.61 | 7.73 | -2.12 | 8.01%
| 0 |
| Sep 29September 29 | vs Florida International (3-9, 2-6) | W 48-20 | 7.16 | 4.18 | +2.98 | 96.88%
| 0 |
| Oct 6October 6 | vs Tulane (2-10, 2-6) | W 41-13 | 5.92 | 3.71 | +2.22 | 92.91%
| +2 |
| Oct 16October 16 (Tue) | at North Texas (4-8, 3-5) | L 23-30 | 6.18 | 6.55 | -0.37 | 40.73%
| -2 |
| Oct 23October 23 (Tue) | vs Arkansas State (10-3, 7-1) | L 27-50 | 7.03 | 6.49 | +0.54 | 63.43%
| -5 |
| Nov 3November 3 | at Louisiana Monroe (8-5, 6-2) | W 40-24 | 7.49 | 7.02 | +0.48 | 61.94%
| 0 |
| Nov 10November 10 | at #6 Florida (11-2, 7-1) | L 20-27 | 5.04 | 5.18 | -0.15 | 46.28%
| -1 |
| Nov 17November 17 | vs Western Kentucky (7-6, 4-4) | W 31-27 | 8.69 | 5.93 | +2.76 | 96.27%
| -3 |
| Nov 24November 24 | vs South Alabama (2-11, 1-7) | W 52-30 | 8.15 | 5.75 | +2.40 | 94.40%
| 0 |
| Dec 1December 1 | at Florida Atlantic (3-9, 2-6) | W 35-21 | 6.46 | 8.00 | -1.54 | 15.63%
| +3 |
| Dec 22December 22 | vs East Carolina (8-5, 7-1) * | W 43-34 | 7.68 | 5.77 | +1.91 | 89.63%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 9-4, 6-2 | 6.77 | 5.87 | +0.908 | 8.65-4.35 (+0.35) | -1 |