| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 | vs UMass (4-8) | W 38-28 | 6.17 | 6.21 | -0.04 | 48.91%
| +2 |
| Sep 16September 16 | at UAB (8-5, 6-2) | L 23-30 | 4.54 | 4.42 | +0.12 | 53.09%
| -2 |
| Sep 23September 23 | vs #21 Western Illinois (8-4, 5-3) | L 10-52 | 5.29 | 8.95 | -3.65 | 2.61%
| -4 |
| Sep 30September 30 | at Louisiana Monroe (4-8, 4-4) | L 43-51 | 6.30 | 5.73 | +0.57 | 64.13%
| -3 |
| Oct 7October 7 | vs Georgia State (7-5, 5-3) | L 21-27 | 6.31 | 5.20 | +1.11 | 76.34%
| +1 |
| Oct 14October 14 | at Arkansas State (7-5, 6-2) | L 17-51 | 6.39 | 6.42 | -0.03 | 49.20%
| -1 |
| Oct 21October 21 | at Appalachian State (9-4, 7-1) | L 29-37 | 7.36 | 7.42 | -0.06 | 48.38%
| -2 |
| Oct 28October 28 | vs Texas State (2-10, 1-7) | L 7-27 | 3.89 | 5.57 | -1.68 | 13.51%
| +1 |
| Nov 4November 4 | at Arkansas (4-8, 1-7) | L 38-39 | 5.44 | 8.72 | -3.28 | 2.78%
| +1 |
| Nov 11November 11 | vs Troy (11-2, 7-1) | L 17-42 | 3.97 | 5.52 | -1.55 | 15.47%
| -1 |
| Nov 18November 18 | at Idaho (4-8, 3-5) | W 13-7 | 4.30 | 4.70 | -0.40 | 39.95%
| 0 |
| Dec 2December 2 | vs Georgia Southern (2-10, 2-6) | W 28-17 | 6.19 | 4.18 | +2.01 | 90.83%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 3-9, 2-6 | 5.53 | 6.05 | -0.523 | 5.05-6.95 (-2.05) | -7 |