| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 | vs Alabama A&M (4-7, 3-4) | W 38-7 | 5.15 | 2.95 | +2.20 | 92.74%
| 0 |
| Sep 9September 9 | at Ball State (2-10, 0-8) | L 31-51 | 6.90 | 4.77 | +2.13 | 92.12%
| -2 |
| Sep 16September 16 | vs Coastal Carolina (3-9, 2-6) | W 30-23 | 4.42 | 4.54 | -0.12 | 46.87%
| +2 |
| Sep 23September 23 | at North Texas (9-5, 7-2) | L 43-46 | 5.49 | 7.51 | -2.02 | 9.04%
| 0 |
| Oct 7October 7 | vs Louisiana Tech (7-6, 4-4) | W 23-22 | 5.38 | 5.76 | -0.38 | 40.41%
| 0 |
| Oct 14October 14 | vs Middle Tennessee (7-6, 4-4) | W 25-23 | 5.79 | 5.18 | +0.60 | 64.99%
| +1 |
| Oct 21October 21 | at Charlotte (1-11, 1-7) | L 24-25 | 5.55 | 4.88 | +0.67 | 66.48%
| 0 |
| Oct 28October 28 | at Southern Mississippi (8-5, 6-2) | W 30-12 | 5.35 | 5.42 | -0.08 | 48.06%
| +1 |
| Nov 4November 4 | vs Rice (1-11, 1-7) | W 52-21 | 7.70 | 7.85 | -0.15 | 46.28%
| +3 |
| Nov 11November 11 | at UT San Antonio (6-5, 3-5) | W 24-19 | 4.02 | 4.10 | -0.08 | 47.93%
| +1 |
| Nov 18November 18 | at Florida (4-7, 3-5) | L 7-36 | 4.74 | 5.11 | -0.38 | 40.51%
| -4 |
| Nov 25November 25 | vs UTEP (0-12, 0-8) | W 28-7 | 4.77 | 4.16 | +0.61 | 65.21%
| +2 |
| Dec 22December 22 (Fri) | at Ohio (9-4, 5-3) * | L 6-41 | 5.04 | 8.50 | -3.46 | 2.71%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-5, 6-2 | 5.42 | 5.39 | +0.026 | 6.63-6.37 (+1.37) | +4 |