| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 | vs UTEP (2-9, 1-6) | W 28-16 | 6.14 | 4.00 | +2.14 | 92.16%
| +1 |
| Sep 6September 6 | at #19 Texas A&M (11-0, 7-0) | L 22-44 | 3.79 | 7.01 | -3.22 | 2.82%
| 0 |
| Sep 13September 13 | vs Air Force (3-8, 2-5) | W 49-30 | 8.45 | 5.30 | +3.15 | 97.13%
| +3 |
| Sep 20September 20 | vs McNeese (5-7, 4-3) | W 48-7 | 8.63 | 3.52 | +5.12 | 100.00%
| -2 |
| Sep 27September 27 | at #18 Vanderbilt (9-2, 5-2) | L 35-55 | 6.24 | 8.67 | -2.43 | 5.41%
| 0 |
| Oct 11October 11 | at Hawai'i (7-4, 4-3) | L 26-44 | 6.59 | 6.86 | -0.27 | 43.10%
| -1 |
| Oct 17October 17 (Fri) | vs San José State (3-8, 2-5) | W 30-25 | 6.59 | 6.94 | -0.35 | 41.16%
| +1 |
| Oct 25October 25 | at New Mexico (8-3, 5-2) | L 14-33 | 6.38 | 6.36 | +0.02 | 50.38%
| -1 |
| Nov 8November 8 | vs Nevada (3-8, 2-5) | W 51-14 | 6.96 | 4.25 | +2.71 | 96.10%
| +3 |
| Nov 15November 15 | at UNLV (9-2, 5-2) | L 26-29 | 5.87 | 5.63 | +0.24 | 56.02%
| +1 |
| Nov 22November 22 | at Fresno State (7-4, 4-3) | W 28-17 | 5.10 | 6.08 | -0.98 | 26.32%
| -1 |
| Nov 28November 28 (Fri) | vs Boise State (7-4, 5-2) | 4:00 PM | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-5, 4-3 | 6.40 | 5.90 | +0.509 | 6.11-4.89 (-0.11) | +4 |