| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 (Thu) | vs UT Martin (5-6, 4-4) | W 24-23 | 4.80 | 6.79 | -1.99 | 9.43%
| +1 |
| Sep 10September 10 | at #23 Chattanooga (5-6, 3-5) | L 17-38 | 4.69 | 6.76 | -2.07 | 8.49%
| -1 |
| Sep 17September 17 | vs Georgia State (3-8) | W 37-21 | 6.09 | 5.72 | +0.37 | 59.29%
| +1 |
| Sep 24September 24 | vs Eastern Illinois (2-9, 1-7) | W 28-21 | 5.85 | 5.74 | +0.11 | 52.73%
| +2 |
| Oct 1October 1 | at Murray State (7-4, 5-3) | W 38-30 | 6.11 | 5.90 | +0.21 | 55.33%
| +1 |
| Oct 15October 15 | at Austin Peay (3-8, 2-6) | W 44-14 | 5.31 | 4.36 | +0.95 | 73.03%
| +4 |
| Oct 22October 22 | at Kentucky (5-7, 2-6) | L 14-38 | 4.79 | 6.27 | -1.47 | 16.77%
| 0 |
| Oct 29October 29 | vs #25 Tennessee Tech (7-4, 6-2) | L 14-21 | 5.04 | 5.98 | -0.94 | 27.27%
| 0 |
| Nov 5November 5 | vs Eastern Kentucky (7-5, 6-2) | L 48-52 | 8.97 | 7.17 | +1.80 | 88.18%
| +1 |
| Nov 12November 12 | at Southeast Missouri State (3-8, 2-6) | W 22-21 | 5.73 | 6.39 | -0.66 | 33.51%
| +2 |
| Nov 19November 19 | at Tennessee State (5-6, 4-4) | W 38-16 | 6.72 | 5.13 | +1.58 | 85.02%
| +3 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-4, 6-2 | 5.87 | 6.06 | -0.195 | 5.09-5.91 (+1.91) | +14 |