| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 26August 26 | vs #13 Chattanooga (3-8, 3-5) * | W 27-13 | 6.20 | 4.32 | +1.88 | 89.27%
| +1 |
| Sep 9September 9 | at Georgia Tech (5-6, 4-4) | L 10-37 | 3.64 | 5.75 | -2.12 | 8.03%
| -3 |
| Sep 23September 23 | vs Liberty (6-5, 2-3) | W 31-10 | 6.42 | 4.27 | +2.15 | 92.27%
| 0 |
| Sep 30September 30 | at Tennessee Tech (1-10, 1-7) | W 34-7 | 7.92 | 4.09 | +3.83 | 97.61%
| -3 |
| Oct 7October 7 | at Austin Peay (8-4, 7-1) | W 34-14 | 5.77 | 4.03 | +1.73 | 87.24%
| +1 |
| Oct 14October 14 | vs Eastern Kentucky (4-7, 3-5) | W 41-25 | 5.58 | 4.35 | +1.24 | 78.85%
| +4 |
| Oct 21October 21 | at Eastern Illinois (6-5, 5-3) | W 30-14 | 5.35 | 3.97 | +1.38 | 81.50%
| 0 |
| Oct 28October 28 | vs Southeast Missouri State (3-8, 3-5) | W 23-7 | 5.69 | 2.94 | +2.75 | 96.24%
| -1 |
| Nov 4November 4 | vs Murray State (3-8, 2-5) | W 59-23 | 6.05 | 2.07 | +3.98 | 97.96%
| -2 |
| Nov 11November 11 | at UT Martin (6-5, 4-4) | W 14-7 | 4.74 | 3.32 | +1.42 | 82.21%
| +1 |
| Nov 16November 16 (Thu) | vs Tennessee State (6-5, 2-5) | W 36-6 | 7.36 | 1.94 | +5.42 | 100.00%
| +1 |
| Dec 2December 2 | vs Kennesaw State (12-2, 5-0) | L 7-17 | 3.67 | 5.06 | -1.39 | 18.19%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 10-2, 8-0 | 5.78 | 3.84 | +1.937 | 9.29-2.71 (+0.71) | -1 |