| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 25August 25 | vs #14 North Carolina A&T (9-2, 5-2) * | L 17-20 | 5.84 | 2.11 | +3.73 | 97.46%
| -3 |
| Sep 8September 8 | vs Mississippi Valley State (1-10, 1-6) | W 71-0 | 7.88 | 2.38 | +5.50 | 100.00%
| +2 |
| Sep 22September 22 | vs Tennessee Tech (1-10, 1-7) | W 48-20 | 7.35 | 4.49 | +2.86 | 96.59%
| +1 |
| Sep 29September 29 | vs Austin Peay (5-6, 3-5) | W 48-32 | 5.99 | 6.06 | -0.07 | 48.08%
| 0 |
| Oct 6October 6 | at Eastern Kentucky (7-4, 5-2) | W 56-7 | 7.49 | 2.45 | +5.04 | 100.00%
| 0 |
| Oct 13October 13 | vs Eastern Illinois (3-8, 3-5) | W 49-22 | 7.59 | 4.56 | +3.03 | 96.96%
| -1 |
| Oct 20October 20 | at Southeast Missouri State (9-4, 6-2) | L 14-37 | 5.55 | 5.07 | +0.48 | 62.09%
| -5 |
| Oct 27October 27 | at Murray State (5-6, 5-3) | W 42-15 | 6.71 | 4.82 | +1.89 | 89.45%
| -1 |
| Nov 3November 3 | vs UT Martin (2-9, 2-6) | W 21-14 | 4.62 | 5.51 | -0.89 | 28.32%
| -1 |
| Nov 10November 10 | at Tennessee State (4-5, 3-4) | W 41-14 | 6.09 | 6.58 | -0.49 | 37.69%
| +3 |
| Nov 17November 17 | at #2 Kennesaw State (11-2, 5-0) * | L 52-60 | 5.70 | 5.25 | +0.46 | 61.45%
| 0 |
| Nov 24November 24 | vs #21 East Tennessee State (8-4, 6-2) | W 34-27 | 7.49 | 5.81 | +1.68 | 86.48%
| 0 |
| Dec 1December 1 | at Maine (10-4, 7-1) | L 27-55 | 6.12 | 6.01 | +0.10 | 52.55%
| -2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 9-4, 7-1 | 6.51 | 4.71 | +1.792 | 9.57-3.43 (-0.57) | -7 |