| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 27August 27 | vs #10 Stephen F. Austin (6-5, 5-2) * | W 42-17 | 7.33 | 3.53 | +3.80 | 97.55%
| 0 |
| Sep 3September 3 | vs Davidson (8-4, 6-2) | W 35-17 | 6.20 | 3.77 | +2.43 | 94.60%
| +2 |
| Sep 10September 10 | at Murray State (2-9, 1-4) | W 34-3 | 7.57 | 4.38 | +3.20 | 97.17%
| -2 |
| Sep 17September 17 | at Tulsa (5-7, 3-5) | L 17-54 | 4.40 | 8.07 | -3.66 | 2.61%
| -3 |
| Sep 24September 24 | at Nicholls (3-8, 3-4) | W 52-21 | 9.12 | 5.10 | +4.02 | 98.08%
| +2 |
| Oct 1October 1 | vs Kennesaw State (5-6, 0-4) | W 35-28 | 5.90 | 3.72 | +2.17 | 92.50%
| -3 |
| Oct 15October 15 | at North Alabama (1-10) * | W 47-31 | 6.91 | 6.72 | +0.19 | 54.77%
| +3 |
| Oct 22October 22 | vs SE Louisiana (9-4, 3-1) | L 14-31 | 5.18 | 5.40 | -0.22 | 44.37%
| -2 |
| Oct 29October 29 | at #21 Austin Peay (7-4, 2-2) | W 40-16 | 5.05 | 5.28 | -0.23 | 44.25%
| +1 |
| Nov 12November 12 | vs #24 Eastern Kentucky (7-5, 2-2) | W 42-17 | 7.29 | 5.94 | +1.35 | 81.07%
| +1 |
| Nov 19November 19 | at Central Arkansas (5-6, 2-2) | W 40-17 | 6.15 | 6.73 | -0.58 | 35.58%
| +3 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 9-2, 4-0 | 6.47 | 5.36 | +1.109 | 7.43-3.57 (+1.57) | +2 |