| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 4September 4 | vs Stony Brook (6-5, 5-1) | W 59-14 | 8.28 | 4.52 | +3.76 | 97.50%
| +2 |
| Sep 11September 11 | at #8 Florida (8-5, 4-4) | L 14-38 | 5.42 | 6.38 | -0.96 | 26.73%
| -5 |
| Sep 25September 25 | vs Western Kentucky (2-10, 2-6) | W 24-12 | 5.36 | 4.71 | +0.65 | 66.21%
| 0 |
| Oct 2October 2 | vs Florida Atlantic (4-8, 3-5) | W 31-3 | 5.41 | 4.27 | +1.14 | 76.97%
| +3 |
| Oct 9October 9 | vs Syracuse (8-5, 4-3) | L 9-13 | 4.22 | 5.19 | -0.97 | 26.62%
| -1 |
| Oct 14October 14 (Thu) | at #25 West Virginia (9-4, 5-2) | L 6-20 | 3.66 | 5.00 | -1.34 | 19.18%
| -3 |
| Oct 22October 22 (Fri) | at Cincinnati (4-8, 2-5) | W 38-30 | 7.27 | 6.96 | +0.31 | 57.91%
| +1 |
| Nov 3November 3 (Wed) | vs Rutgers (4-8, 1-6) | W 28-27 | 5.29 | 4.79 | +0.50 | 62.53%
| -1 |
| Nov 13November 13 | at Louisville (7-6, 3-4) | W 24-21 | 4.71 | 4.10 | +0.61 | 65.10%
| +1 |
| Nov 20November 20 | vs Pittsburgh (8-5, 5-2) | L 10-17 | 4.53 | 5.93 | -1.40 | 18.15%
| 0 |
| Nov 27November 27 | at Miami (7-6, 5-3) | W 23-20 | 4.33 | 4.85 | -0.52 | 36.90%
| +2 |
| Dec 4December 4 | vs Connecticut (8-5, 5-2) | L 16-19 | 4.63 | 3.46 | +1.16 | 77.40%
| -1 |
| Dec 31December 31 (Fri) | at Clemson (6-7, 4-4) * | W 31-26 | 4.49 | 4.59 | -0.10 | 47.54%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-5, 3-4 | 5.17 | 5.01 | +0.160 | 6.79-6.21 (+1.21) | -2 |