| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 (Thu) | at UAB (4-8, 3-5) | W 32-31 | 7.10 | 6.55 | +0.55 | 63.75%
| 0 |
| Sep 11September 11 | vs Michigan State (11-2, 7-1) * | L 17-30 | 4.45 | 8.04 | -3.59 | 2.65%
| +1 |
| Sep 25September 25 | vs North Texas (3-9, 3-5) | L 17-21 | 6.64 | 5.84 | +0.80 | 69.51%
| 0 |
| Oct 2October 2 | at South Florida (8-5, 3-4) | L 3-31 | 4.27 | 5.41 | -1.14 | 23.00%
| -3 |
| Oct 9October 9 | at Louisiana Monroe (5-7, 4-4) | L 17-20 | 4.59 | 5.46 | -0.88 | 28.64%
| 0 |
| Oct 23October 23 | at Arkansas State (4-8, 4-4) | L 16-37 | 6.16 | 4.62 | +1.54 | 84.30%
| -2 |
| Oct 30October 30 | vs Florida International (7-6, 6-2) | W 21-9 | 5.95 | 5.21 | +0.74 | 68.22%
| +2 |
| Nov 6November 6 | at Western Kentucky (2-10, 2-6) | W 17-16 | 3.64 | 3.88 | -0.24 | 43.90%
| -2 |
| Nov 13November 13 | vs Louisiana (3-9, 3-5) | W 24-23 | 6.18 | 5.42 | +0.77 | 68.86%
| +1 |
| Nov 20November 20 | at Texas (5-7, 2-6) | L 17-51 | 5.34 | 6.77 | -1.43 | 17.53%
| -2 |
| Nov 27November 27 | at Middle Tennessee (6-7, 5-3) | L 14-38 | 4.36 | 6.41 | -2.05 | 8.70%
| -2 |
| Dec 4December 4 | vs Troy (8-5, 6-2) | L 7-44 | 5.49 | 6.46 | -0.96 | 26.77%
| -3 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 4-8, 3-5 | 5.28 | 5.76 | -0.473 | 5.06-6.94 (-1.06) | -10 |