| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 28August 28 (Thu) | at South Florida (8-3, 5-2) | L 7-34 | 4.40 | 7.02 | -2.62 | 4.30%
| -3 |
| Sep 5September 5 (Fri) | vs Eastern Washington (5-7, 4-4) | W 51-14 | 9.37 | 4.31 | +5.06 | 100.00%
| +2 |
| Sep 20September 20 | at Air Force (3-8, 2-5) | W 49-37 | 10.63 | 6.96 | +3.67 | 97.40%
| 0 |
| Sep 27September 27 | vs App State (5-6, 2-5) | W 47-14 | 5.77 | 3.23 | +2.54 | 95.27%
| +4 |
| Oct 4October 4 | at #21 Notre Dame (9-2) | L 7-28 | 4.44 | 7.69 | -3.25 | 2.80%
| -4 |
| Oct 11October 11 | vs New Mexico (8-3, 5-2) | W 41-25 | 4.75 | 4.38 | +0.37 | 59.38%
| +3 |
| Oct 18October 18 | vs UNLV (9-2, 5-2) | W 56-31 | 9.79 | 6.80 | +2.99 | 96.90%
| -1 |
| Oct 24October 24 (Fri) | at Nevada (3-8, 2-5) | W 24-3 | 4.11 | 4.66 | -0.55 | 36.14%
| +4 |
| Nov 1November 1 | vs Fresno State (7-4, 4-3) | L 7-30 | 3.11 | 3.29 | -0.18 | 45.38%
| -3 |
| Nov 15November 15 | at San Diego State (9-2, 6-1) | L 7-17 | 4.54 | 5.25 | -0.71 | 32.49%
| 0 |
| Nov 22November 22 | vs Colorado State (2-9, 1-6) | W 49-21 | 6.13 | 5.27 | +0.86 | 70.89%
| +3 |
| Nov 28November 28 (Fri) | at Utah State (6-5, 4-3) | 4:00 PM | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-4, 5-2 | 5.92 | 5.35 | +0.570 | 6.41-4.59 (+0.59) | +5 |