| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 28August 28 (Thu) | at South Florida (9-4, 6-2) | L 7-34 | 4.40 | 7.02 | -2.62 | 4.30%
| -3 |
| Sep 5September 5 (Fri) | vs Eastern Washington (5-7, 4-4) | W 51-14 | 9.37 | 4.31 | +5.06 | 100.00%
| +2 |
| Sep 20September 20 | at Air Force (4-8, 3-5) | W 49-37 | 10.63 | 6.96 | +3.67 | 97.40%
| 0 |
| Sep 27September 27 | vs App State (5-7, 2-6) | W 47-14 | 5.77 | 3.23 | +2.54 | 95.27%
| +4 |
| Oct 4October 4 | at #21 Notre Dame (10-2) | L 7-28 | 4.44 | 7.69 | -3.25 | 2.80%
| -4 |
| Oct 11October 11 | vs New Mexico (9-3, 6-2) | W 41-25 | 4.75 | 4.38 | +0.37 | 59.38%
| +3 |
| Oct 18October 18 | vs UNLV (10-3, 6-3) | W 56-31 | 9.79 | 6.80 | +2.99 | 96.90%
| -1 |
| Oct 24October 24 (Fri) | at Nevada (3-9, 2-6) | W 24-3 | 4.11 | 4.66 | -0.55 | 36.14%
| +4 |
| Nov 1November 1 | vs Fresno State (8-4, 5-3) | L 7-30 | 3.11 | 3.29 | -0.18 | 45.38%
| -3 |
| Nov 15November 15 | at San Diego State (9-3, 6-2) | L 7-17 | 4.54 | 5.25 | -0.71 | 32.49%
| 0 |
| Nov 22November 22 | vs Colorado State (2-10, 1-7) | W 49-21 | 6.13 | 5.27 | +0.86 | 70.89%
| +3 |
| Nov 28November 28 (Fri) | at Utah State (6-6, 4-4) | W 25-24 | 5.39 | 6.14 | -0.75 | 31.57%
| 0 |
| Dec 5December 5 (Fri) | vs UNLV (10-3, 6-3) | W 38-21 | 6.67 | 5.68 | +0.99 | 73.74%
| +1 |
| Dec 13December 13 | at Washington (9-4, 5-4) * | L 10-38 | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 9-5, 7-2 | 5.92 | 5.44 | +0.477 | 7.46-5.54 (+1.54) | +6 |