| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 (Thu) | at Eastern Illinois (7-5, 6-1) | L 28-49 | 3.97 | 5.67 | -1.71 | 13.11%
| -2 |
| Sep 8September 8 | at Miami (OH) (4-8, 3-5) | L 14-30 | 4.92 | 4.87 | +0.05 | 51.15%
| -1 |
| Sep 15September 15 | vs Southeast Missouri State (3-8, 2-6) | W 35-14 | 6.73 | 3.58 | +3.15 | 97.13%
| -3 |
| Sep 22September 22 | at Missouri State (3-8, 3-5) | W 14-6 | 3.47 | 4.36 | -0.89 | 28.38%
| +3 |
| Sep 29September 29 | vs Indiana State (7-4, 5-3) | L 3-24 | 3.86 | 3.70 | +0.17 | 54.24%
| -3 |
| Oct 6October 6 | at #9 Illinois State (9-4, 5-3) | W 17-0 | 2.68 | 4.08 | -1.40 | 18.02%
| +3 |
| Oct 13October 13 | vs Northern Iowa (5-6, 4-4) | W 34-31 | 4.17 | 6.62 | -2.45 | 5.30%
| +1 |
| Oct 20October 20 | at #15 Youngstown State (7-4, 4-4) | W 38-21 | 4.00 | 4.58 | -0.58 | 35.46%
| +5 |
| Oct 27October 27 | at #3 North Dakota State (14-1, 8-1) | L 17-23 | 4.12 | 5.08 | -0.96 | 26.74%
| 0 |
| Nov 3November 3 | vs #21 South Dakota State (9-4, 6-3) | L 12-16 | 4.13 | 4.29 | -0.17 | 45.71%
| 0 |
| Nov 17November 17 | vs Western Illinois (3-8, 1-7) | W 35-0 | 4.80 | 2.41 | +2.39 | 94.32%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-5, 5-3 | 4.32 | 4.55 | -0.230 | 4.70-6.30 (+1.30) | +2 |